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Parisian ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model, unlike the standard ruin probability can not be explicitly calculated even in one-dimensional setup. Resorting on asymptotic theory, we derive in this contribution an…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-28 Nikolai Kriukov

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

The ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model can be explicitly calculated for both finite and infinite-time horizon. This is not the case for the simultaneous ruin probability in two-dimensional Brownian risk model. Resorting…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-13 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna

In this paper we evaluate the probability of the discrete time Parisian ruin that occurs when surplus process stays below or at zero at least for some fixed duration of time $d>0$. We identify expressions for the ruin probabilities within…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-16 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Światek

In this paper we consider the Parisian ruin probabilities for the dual risk model in a discrete-time setting. By exploiting the strong Markov property of the risk process we derive a recursive expression for the fnite-time Parisian ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-24 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

Let $(W_1(s), W_2(t)), s,t\ge 0$ be a bivariate Brownian motion with standard Brownian motion marginals and constant correlation $\rho \in (-1,1).$ Parisian ruin is defined as a classical ruin that happens over an extended period of time,…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-28 Konrad Krystecki

In this paper we consider some generalizations of the classical d-dimensional Brownian risk model. This contribution derives some non-asymptotic bounds for simultaneous ruin probabilities of interest. In addition, we obtain non-asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-17 Nikolai Kriukov

In this short note, we derive explicit formulas for the joint densities of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin in perturbed classical risk models, by constructing several auxiliary random processes.

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-22 Peng Liu , Chunsheng Zhang , Lanpeng Ji

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of the following ruin probability $$P\{\exists t \in G(\delta):B_H(t)-c_1t>q_1u,B_H(t)-c_2t>q_2u\}, \ \ \ u \rightarrow \infty,$$ where $B_H$ is a standard fractional Brownian motion,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-13 Grigori Jasnovidov

In this paper we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of Parisian ruin for self-similar Gaussian risk processes. Additionally, we obtain the normal approximation of the Parisian ruin time and derive an asymptotic relation between…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-14 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

Consider a multi-dimensional Brownian motion which models the surplus processes of multiple lines of business of an insurance company. Our main result gives exact asymptotics for the cumulative Parisian ruin probability as the initial…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-28 Lanpeng Ji

In this paper we investigate the Parisian ruin probability for an integrated Gaussian process. Under certain assumptions, we find the Parisian ruin probability and the classical ruin probability are on the log-scale asymptotically the same.…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-04 Xiaofan Peng , Li Luo

We introduce the concept of cumulative Parisian ruin, which is based on the time spent in the red by the underlying surplus process. Our main result is an explicit representation for the distribution of the occupation time, over a…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-24 Hélène Guérin , Jean-François Renaud

This paper investigates ruin probabilities for a two-dimensional fractional Brownian risk model with a proportional reinsurance scheme. We focus on joint and simultaneous ruin probabilities in a finite-time horizon. The risk processes of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-02 Krzysztof Kȩpczyński

We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-14 David J. Santana , Luis Rincón

We consider a generalization of the classical risk model when the premium intensity depends on the current surplus of an insurance company. All surplus is invested in the risky asset, the price of which follows a geometric Brownian motion.…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-28 Yuliya Mishura , Mykola Perestyuk , Olena Ragulina

We study the discrete time risk process modelled by the skip-free random walk and we derive the results connected to the ruin probability, such as crossing the fixed level, for this kind of process. We use the method relying on the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-08 Ivana Geček Tuđen

We derive exact tail asymptotics of the Parisian ruin probability for Gaussian risk models driven by locally self-similar Gaussian processes with a power-type deterministic trend. The considered setting includes non-stationary Gaussian…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Svyatoslav M. Novikov

The present work concerns the finite-time ruin probabilities for several bidimensional risk models with constant interest force and correlated Brownian motions.} Under the condition that the two Brownian motions $\{B_1(t), t\ge 0\}$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-29 Dan Zhu , Ming Zhou , Chuancun Yin

Based on a discrete version of the Pollaczeck-Khinchine formula, a general method to calculate the ultimate ruin probability in the Gerber-Dickson risk model is provided when claims follow a negative binomial mixture distribution. The…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-03 David J. Santana , Luis Rincon
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