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We study the long-time asymptotics of the probability P_t that the Riemann-Liouville fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index H does not escape from a fixed interval [-L,L] up to time t. We show that for any H \in ]0,1], for both…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-01-07 G. Oshanin

Let $\left\{\sum_{i=1}^n \lambda_i X_i(t), t\in [0,T]\right\}$ be an aggregate Gaussian risk process with $X_i, i\leq n$ independent Gaussian processes satisfying Piterbarg conditions and $\lambda_i$'s given positive weights. In this paper…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-24 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Zhongquan Tan

For $\{B_H(t)= (B_{H,1}(t), \ldots, B_{H,d}(t))^\top,t\ge0\}$, where $\{B_{H,i}(t),t\ge 0\}, 1\le i\le d$ are mutually independent fractional Brownian motions, we obtain the exact asymptotics of $$ \mathbb P (\exists t\ge 0: A B_{H}(t) -…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-09 Krzysztof Debicki , Lanpeng Ji , Svyatoslav Novikov

Let $\textbf{Z}(t)=(Z_1(t) ,\ldots, Z_d(t))^\top , t \in \mathbb{R}$ where $Z_i(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$, $i=1,...,d$ are mutually independent centered Gaussian processes with continuous sample paths a.s. and stationary increments. For…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-27 Krzysztof Bisewski , Krzysztof Debicki , Nikolai Kriukov

We consider a dual risk model with constant expense rate and i.i.d. exponentially distributed gains $C_i$ ($i=1,2,\dots$) that arrive according to a renewal process with general interarrival times. We add to this classical dual risk model…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-02 Onno Boxma , Esther Frostig , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider a two-dimensional ruin problem where the surplus process of business lines is modelled by a two-dimensional correlated Brownian motion with drift. We study the ruin function $P(u)$ for the component-wise ruin (that is both…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

For a risk process $R_u(t)=u+ct-X(t), t\ge 0$, where $u\ge 0$ is the initial capital, $c>0$ is the premium rate and $X(t),t\ge 0$ is an aggregate claim process, we investigate the probability of the Parisian ruin \[…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-20 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We consider an insurance company in the case when the premium rate is a bounded non-negative random function $c_\zs{t}$ and the capital of the insurance company is invested in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-11-08 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Zeitouny Omar

Let $B^{H}$ be a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$, $f:[0,1]\longrightarrow\mathbb{R}^{d}$ a Borel function, and $E\subset[0,1]$, $F\subset\mathbb{R}^{d}$ are given Borel sets. The focus of this paper…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-08 Youssef Hakiki , Mohamed Erraoui

We consider the multivariate risk model with common renewal process among the lines of business, and Brownian perturbations. Assuming that the integrated tail distribution of claims is multivariate subexponential, we establish an asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-24 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides

We consider two insurance companies with endowment processes given by Brownian motions with drift. The firms can collaborate by transfer payments in order to maximize the probability that none of them goes bankrupt. We show that pushing…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-29 Peter Grandits , Maike Klein

In this paper we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of Parisian ruin for self-similar Gaussian risk processes. Additionally, we obtain the normal approximation of the Parisian ruin time and derive an asymptotic relation between…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-14 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We derive the asymptotic behavior of weighted quadratic variations of fractional Brownian motion $B$ with Hurst index $H=1/4$. This completes the only missing case in a very recent work by I. Nourdin, D. Nualart and C. A. Tudor. Moreover,…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-14 Ivan Nourdin , Anthony Réveillac

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company invests its reserve in a risky asset with a switching regime price. We assume that the asset price is a conditional geometric Brownian motion with parameters modulated by…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-19 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

This paper investigates the Parisian ruin probability for processes with power-asymmetric behavior of the variance near the unique optimal point. We derive the exact asymptotics as the ruin boundary tends to infinity and extend the previous…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-12 Pavel Ievlev

In this paper we investigate the Parisian ruin probability for an integrated Gaussian process. Under certain assumptions, we find the Parisian ruin probability and the classical ruin probability are on the log-scale asymptotically the same.…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-04 Xiaofan Peng , Li Luo

Given a Gaussian risk process $R(t)=u+c(t)-X(t),t\ge 0$, the cumulative Parisian ruin probability on a finite time interval $[0,T]$ with respect to $L \geq 0$ is defined as the probability that the sojourn time that the risk process $R$…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-06 Svyatoslav M. Novikov

We consider the sum of two self-similar centred Gaussian processes with different self-similarity indices. Under non-negativity assumptions of covariance functions and some further minor conditions, we show that the asymptotic behaviour of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-27 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kilian , Ercan Sönmez

In this paper we consider the Parisian ruin probabilities for the dual risk model in a discrete-time setting. By exploiting the strong Markov property of the risk process we derive a recursive expression for the fnite-time Parisian ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-24 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

We consider the paths of a Gaussian random process $x(t)$, $x(0)=0$ not exceeding a fixed positive level over a large time interval $(0,T)$, $T\gg 1$. The probability $p(T)$ of such event is frequently a regularly varying function at…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 G. Molchan , A. Khokhlov