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In this paper, we discuss the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with investments, where the price of the invested risk asset follows a geometric Brownian motion with drift $a$ and volatility $\sigma> 0.$ By assuming there is a cap on the claim sizes,…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-02 Shimao Fan , Sheng Xiong , Wei-Shih Yang

We consider the persistence probability for the integrated fractional Brownian motion and the fractionally integrated Brownian motion with parameter $H,$ respectively. For the integrated fractional Brownian motion, we discuss a conjecture…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-10 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kilian

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

This paper deals with the Local Asymptotical normality for the joint drift parameter and Hurst parameter $H>3/4$ in the mixed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Different from the only estimation of the drift parameter when $H$ is…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-21 Chunhao Cai , Cong Zhang

Fractional Brownian motion, a Gaussian non-Markovian self-similar process with stationary long-correlated increments, has been identified to give rise to the anomalous diffusion behavior in a great variety of physical systems. The…

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

Let $B^{H}$ be a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$, $f:[0,1]\longrightarrow\mathbb{R}^{d}$ a Borel function, and $E\subset[0,1]$, $F\subset\mathbb{R}^{d}$ are given Borel sets. The focus of this paper…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-21 Mohamed Erraoui , Youssef Hakiki

Consider an estimation of the Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$ and the volatility parameter $\sigma>0$ for a fractional Brownian motion with a drift term under high-frequency observations with a finite time interval. In the present paper, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-13 Tetsuya Takabatake

The study deals with the ruin problem when an insurance company having two business branches, life insurance and non-life insurance, invests its reserve into a risky asset with the price dynamics given by a geometric Brownian motion. We…

概率论 · 数学 2020-11-17 Yuri Kabanov , Nikita Pukhlyakov

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

This paper investigates $\pi_T(a_1,a_2) = \mathbb{P}\left(\sup\limits_{t\in[0,T]} (\sigma_1B(t)-c_1t)>a_1, \sup\limits_{t\in[0,T]}( \sigma_2 B(t)-c_2t)>a_2\right),$ where $\{B(t) : t \geq 0\}$ is a standard Brownian motion, with $T >0,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-16 Krzysztof Kȩpczyński

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with stationary, long-time correlated increments and is frequently used to model anomalous diffusion processes. We study numerically fractional Brownian motion confined to a finite…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-03-22 T. Guggenberger , G. Pagnini , T. Vojta , R. Metzler

It is well known that for standard Brownian motion $ \{B(t), \;t \geq 0\}$ with values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ its convex hull $ V(t)=\conv \{\{\,B(s),\;s \leq t \}$ with probability 1 contains 0 as an interior point for each $t > 0$ (see…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-31 Youri Davydov

We study the persistence properties of a fractional Brownian motion whose Hurst exponent is a random variable instead of a fixed constant. For each fixed $H \in (0,1)$, it is well known that the persistence probability of an FBM below a…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-17 Frank Aurzada , Sabine Müller

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

We show that the distribution of the square of the supremum of reflected fractional Brownian motion up to time a, with Hurst parameter-H greater than 1/2, is related to the distribution of its hitting time to level $1,$ using the self…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-14 Ceren Vardar

We consider the problem of efficient estimation for the drift of fractional Brownian motion $B^H:=(B^H_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ with hurst parameter $H$ less than 1/2. We also construct superefficient James-Stein type estimators which dominate,…

概率论 · 数学 2009-05-12 Es-Sebaiy Khalifa , Idir Ouassou , Youssef Ouknine

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company combines the life- and non-life insurance businesses and invests its reserve into a risky asset with stochastic volatility and drift driven by a two-state Markov process.…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-10 Anastasiya Ellanskaya , Yuri Kabanov

We propose a new algorithm to generate a fractional Brownian motion, with a given Hurst parameter, 1/2<H<1 using the correlated Bernoulli random variables with parameter p; having a certain density. This density is constructed using the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-15 Buket Coskun , Ceren Vardar-Acar , Hakan Demirtas

This paper obtains an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability of the compound nonhomogeneous Poisson risk model with a constant interest force, in which the claims are conditionally independent random variables with a common…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-30 Hui Xu , Fengyang Cheng