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In this paper, following earlier results in [2] we derive the asymptotic distribution as $t \to \infty$, of the excursion of Brownian motion straddling $t$, into an interval $(a,b)$, conditional on the event that there is such an excursion.

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-25 Rajeev Bhaskaran

In this paper we introduce a definition of a multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index $H \in (0, 1)$ under volatility uncertainty (in short G-fBm). We study the properties of such a process and provide first results about…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-03 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Katharina Oberpriller

This paper studies risk balancing features in an insurance market by evaluating ruin probabilities for single and multiple components of a multivariate compound Poisson risk process. The dependence of the components of the process is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

In this paper we investigate the boundary non-crossing probabilities of a fractional Brownian motion considering some general deterministic trend function. We derive bounds for non-crossing probabilities and discuss the case of a large…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-01 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Oleg Seleznjev

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

Let \(\mathbf B(t)=(B_1(t), \dots,B_d(t))^\top\), \(t\in[0,T]\), \(d\geq 2\) be a \(d\)-dimensional Brownian motion with independent components and let \(\mathbf \eta=(\eta_1,\dots,\eta_d)^\top\) be a random vector independent of \(\mathbf…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-24 Goran Popivoda , Timofei Shashkov

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

We study a Sparre Andersen model in which the business activity of the company is described by a compound renewal process with drift assuming that the capital reserves are invested in a risky asset. The price of the latter is assumed to…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-15 Ernst Eberlain , Yuri Kabanov , Thorsten Schmidt

We study the asymptotics of the ruin probability in the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with a modified notion of ruin. The modification is as follows. If the portfolio becomes negative, the asset is not immediately declared ruined but may survive…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-26 Frank Aurzada , Micha Buck

A possible mechanism leading to anomalous diffusion is the presence of long-range correlations in time between the displacements of the particles. Fractional Brownian motion, a non-Markovian self-similar Gaussian process with stationary…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-04-03 Alexander H O Wada , Alex Warhover , Thomas Vojta

In this paper we consider the persistence properties of random processes in Brownian scenery, which are examples of non-Markovian and non-Gaussian processes. More precisely we study the asymptotic behaviour for large $T$, of the probability…

In this paper we evaluate the probability of the discrete time Parisian ruin that occurs when surplus process stays below or at zero at least for some fixed duration of time $d>0$. We identify expressions for the ruin probabilities within…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-16 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Światek

This paper derives an exact asymptotic expression for \[ \mathbb{P}_{\mathbf{x}_u}\{\exists_{t\ge0} \mathbf{X}(t)- \boldsymbol{\mu}t\in \mathcal{U} \}, \ \ {\rm as}\ \ u\to\infty, \] where $\mathbf{X}(t)=(X_1(t),\ldots,X_d(t))^\top,t\ge0$…

概率论 · 数学 2017-07-11 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

We study a dynamic model of a non-life insurance portfolio. The foundation of the model is a compound Poisson process that represents the claims side of the insurer. To introduce clusters of claims appearing, e.g. with catastrophic events,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-03 Jonathan Klinge , Maren Diane Schmeck

The aim of the paper is to show the probabilistically strong well-posedness of rough differential equations with distributional drifts driven by the Gaussian rough path lift of fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-17 Konstantinos Dareiotis , Máté Gerencsér , Khoa Lê , Chengcheng Ling

Let $B=\{(B_{t}^{1},..., B_{t}^{d}), t\geq 0\}$ be a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H$ and let $R_{t}=% \sqrt{(B_{t}^{1})^{2}+... +(B_{t}^{d})^{2}}$ be the fractional Bessel process. It\^{o}'s formula for…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart

We investigate models of the life annuity insurance when the company invests its reserve into a risky asset with price following a geometric Brownian motion. Our main result is an exact asymptotic of the ruin probabilities for the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-19 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

In this paper, we consider the drawdown and drawup of the fractional Brownian motion with trend, which corresponds to the logarithm of geometric fractional Brownian motion representing the stock price in financial market. We derive the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-01 Long Bai , Peng Liu

In this paper, firstly, we generalize the definition of the bifractional Brownian motion $B^{H,K}:=\Big(B^{H,K}\;;\;t\geq 0\Big)$, with parameters $H\in(0,1)$ and $K\in(0,1]$, to the case where $H$ is no longer a constant, but a function…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-09 M. Ait Ouahra , M. Mellouk , H. Ouahhabi , A. Sghir

The main results in this paper concern large and moderate deviations for the radial component of a $n$-dimensional hyperbolic Brownian motion (for $n\geq 2$) on the Poincar\'{e} half-space. We also investigate the asymptotic behavior of the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-09 Valentina Cammarota , Alessandro De Gregorio , Claudio Macci