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相关论文: Discrete time ruin probability with Parisian delay

200 篇论文

We investigate, focusing on the ruin probability, an adaptation of the Cramer-Lundberg model for the surplus process of an insurance company, in which, conditionally on their intensities, the two mixed Poisson processes governing the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-06-27 Matija Vidmar

This survey treats the problem of ruin in a risk model when assets earn investment income. In addition to a general presentation of the problem, topics covered are a presentation of the relevant integro-differential equations, exact and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-18 Jostein Paulsen

Consider a surplus process which both of collected premium and payed claim size are two independent compound Poisson processes. This article derives two approximated formulas for the ruin probability of such surplus process, say double…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-20 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Dan Kucerovsky

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

This paper obtains an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability of the compound nonhomogeneous Poisson risk model with a constant interest force, in which the claims are conditionally independent random variables with a common…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-30 Hui Xu , Fengyang Cheng

In this paper a class of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes is considered. The jumps arrive with exponential waiting times and are allowed to be two-sided. The jumps are assumed to form an iid sequence with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-01 Anders Rønn-Nielsen

This paper proceeds an approximate calculation of ultimate time survival probability for bi-seasonal discrete time risk model when premium rate equals two. The same model with income rate equal to one was investigated in 2014 by Damarackas…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-08 Alina Alencenovič , Andrius Grigutis

For two nonstandard renewal risk models, we investigate the precise large deviations of the finite-time ruin probability and a random sum of the net-loss process, and the asymptotics of the random-time ruin probability. Notably, in one of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-11 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

This note explores the mathematical theory to solve modern gamblers ruin problems. We establish a ruin framework and solve for the probability of bankruptcy. We also show how this relates to the expected time to bankruptcy and review the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-25 Salil Mehta

We consider a discrete-time process adapted to some filtration which lives on a (typically countable) subset of $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 2$. For this process, we assume that it has uniformly bounded jumps, is uniformly elliptic (can advance…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-28 Mikhail Menshikov , Serguei Popov

We consider survival probabilities for the discrete time process in one dimension, which is known as the Domany-Kinzel model. A convergence theorem for infinite systems can be obtained in the nonattractive case.

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 Makoto Katori , Norio Konno , Hideki Tanemura

We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

Consider two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions. We model the occurrence of claims according to a renewal process. One ruin problem…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-16 Florin Avram , Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn R. Pistorius

In this paper, we study finite-time ruin probabilities for the compound Markov binomial risk model - a discrete-time model where claim sizes are modulated by a finite-state ergodic Markov chain. In the classic (non-modulated) case, the risk…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-23 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Viktor Antipov

Let $\{B(t), t\ge 0\}$ be a Brownian motion. Consider the Brownian motion risk model with interest rate collection and tax payment defined by \begin{align}\label{Rudef}…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-14 Long Bai , Peng Liu

This article studies asymptotic approximations of ruin probabilities of multivariate random walks with heavy-tailed increments. Under our assumptions, the distributions of the increments are closely connected to multivariate…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-12 Miriam Hägele

The study deals with the ruin problem when an insurance company invests its reserve in a risky asset whose the price dynamics is given by a geometric L\'evy process. Considering the ruin probability as a of the capital reserve we obtain for…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-10 Viktor Antipov , Yuri Kabanov

In this paper we consider some generalizations of the classical d-dimensional Brownian risk model. This contribution derives some non-asymptotic bounds for simultaneous ruin probabilities of interest. In addition, we obtain non-asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-17 Nikolai Kriukov

We consider a two-dimensional ruin problem where the surplus process of business lines is modelled by a two-dimensional correlated Brownian motion with drift. We study the ruin function $P(u)$ for the component-wise ruin (that is both…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski