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相关论文: Discrete time ruin probability with Parisian delay

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The present work concerns the finite-time ruin probabilities for several bidimensional risk models with constant interest force and correlated Brownian motions.} Under the condition that the two Brownian motions $\{B_1(t), t\ge 0\}$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-29 Dan Zhu , Ming Zhou , Chuancun Yin

The aim of this paper is to construct the confidence interval of the ultimate ruin probability under the insurance surplus driven by a L\'evy process. Assuming a parametric family for the L\'evy measures, we estimate the parameter from the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-15 Yasutaka Shimizu

The ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model can be explicitly calculated for both finite and infinite-time horizon. This is not the case for the simultaneous ruin probability in two-dimensional Brownian risk model. Resorting…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-13 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna

This paper focuses on a discrete-time risk model in which both insurance risk and financial risk are taken into account. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the ruin probability and the tail probability of the aggregate risk amount.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhu Li

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

Based on a discrete version of the Pollaczeck-Khinchine formula, a general method to calculate the ultimate ruin probability in the Gerber-Dickson risk model is provided when claims follow a negative binomial mixture distribution. The…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-03 David J. Santana , Luis Rincon

The main purpose of the paper is to study ruin probabilities in two discrete time risk models under rates of interest, where the premiums and claims are two independent sequences of m-dependent random variables, and the rate of interest is…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-21 Nguyen Huy Hoang , Tran Dinh Phung

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

In this contribution we study asymptotics of the simultaneous Parisian ruin probability of a two-dimensional fractional Brownian motion risk process. This risk process models the surplus processes of an insurance and a reinsurance…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-22 Grigori Jasnovidov , Aleksandr Shemendyuk

We start by showing that the finite-time absolute ruin probability in the classical risk model with constant interest force can be expressed in terms of the transition probability of a positive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process, say X. Our…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2010-06-15 Ronnie L. Loeffen , Pierre Patie

In this paper we study the asymptotic decay of finite time ruin probabilities for an insurance company that faces heavy-tailed claims, uses predictable investment strategies and makes investments in risky assets whose prices evolve…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog

We analyse the asymptotics of ruin probabilities of two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions when the initial reserves of both companies tend…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-02 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski , Tomasz Rolski

We study the asymptotic behavior of ruin probabilities, as the initial reserve goes to infinity, for a reserve process model where claims arrive according to a renewal process, while between the claim times the process has the dynamics of…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-24 Ying He , Konstantin Borovkov

Let $(W_1(s), W_2(t)), s,t\ge 0$ be a bivariate Brownian motion with standard Brownian motion marginals and constant correlation $\rho \in (-1,1).$ In this contribution we derive precise approximations for cumulative Parisian ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-28 Konrad Krystecki

In this paper, we study the ruin problem with investment in a general framework where the business part X is a L{\'e}vy process and the return on investment R is a semimartingale. We obtain upper bounds on the finite and infinite time ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-02 Lioudmila Vostrikova , Jérôme Spielmann

We present here a new extended model of the gambler's ruin problem by incorporating delays in receiving of rewards and paying of penalties. When there is a difference between two delays, an exact analysis of the ruin probability is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-10-23 Tomohisa Imai , Toru Ohira

In this paper, we build on the techniques developed in Albrecher et al. (2013), to generate initial-boundary value problems for ruin probabilities of surplus-dependent premium risk processes, under a renewal case scenario, Erlang (2) claim…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-12 Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Jing Wang

Due to its practical use, De Vylder's approximation of the ruin probability has been one of the most popular approximations in ruin theory and its application to insurance. Surprisingly, only heuristic and numerical evidence has supported…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-04 Azmi Makhlouf

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of the following ruin probability $$P\{\exists t \in G(\delta):B_H(t)-c_1t>q_1u,B_H(t)-c_2t>q_2u\}, \ \ \ u \rightarrow \infty,$$ where $B_H$ is a standard fractional Brownian motion,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-13 Grigori Jasnovidov