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We study the rough asymptotic behaviour of a general economic risk model in a discrete setting. Both financial and insurance risks are taken into account. Loss during the first $n$ years is modelled as a random variable…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-25 Jaakko Lehtomaa

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

We develop an agent-based simulation of the catastrophe insurance and reinsurance industry and use it to study the problem of risk model homogeneity. The model simulates the balance sheets of insurance firms, who collect premiums from…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-11-21 Torsten Heinrich , Juan Sabuco , J. Doyne Farmer

We consider the multivariate risk model with common renewal process among the lines of business, and Brownian perturbations. Assuming that the integrated tail distribution of claims is multivariate subexponential, we establish an asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-24 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides

In these notes, we present some methods and applications of large deviations to finance and insurance. We begin with the classical ruin problem related to the Cramer's theorem and give en extension to an insurance model with investment in…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-02 Huyen Pham

We consider a two-dimensional optimal dividend problem in the context of two branches of an insurance company with compound Poisson surplus processes dividing claims and premia in some specified proportions. We solve the stochastic control…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-04-12 Pablo Azcue , Nora Muler , Zbigniew Palmowski

We study modified ruin probabilities in a Cram\'er-Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process. In the heavy-tailed regime, if the integrated claim-size distribution is subexponential and the upper endpoint of the mixing…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-11 Noriyoshi Sakuma , Momoka Tashiro

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-02 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras

Numerical evaluation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model is an important problem. If claim sizes are heavy-tailed, then such evaluations are challenging. To overcome this, an attractive way is to approximate the claim sizes…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-25 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

In this paper we study the draw-down related Parisian ruin problem for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy risk processes. We introduce the draw-down Parisian ruin time and solve the corresponding two-sided exit time via excursion theory. We also…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-25 Wenyuan Wang , Xiaowen Zhou

In the extended gambler's ruin problem we can move one step forward or backward (classical gambler's ruin problem), we can stay where we are for a time unit (delayed action) or there can be absorption in the current state (game is…

概率论 · 数学 2023-03-28 Theo van Uem

This paper investigates the Parisian ruin probability for processes with power-asymmetric behavior of the variance near the unique optimal point. We derive the exact asymptotics as the ruin boundary tends to infinity and extend the previous…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-12 Pavel Ievlev

We analyze the general L\'{e}vy insurance risk process for L\'{e}vy measures in the convolution equivalence class $\mathcal{S}^{(\alpha)}$, $\alpha>0$, via a new kind of path decomposition. This yields a very general functional limit…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-22 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller

As corporates and governments become more digital, they become vulnerable to various forms of cyber attack. Cyber insurance products have been used as risk management tools, yet their pricing does not reflect actual risk, including that of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-10 Jiwook Jang , Rosy Oh

This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Tim Leung , Olympia Hadjiliadis

A quadratic discrete time probabilistic model, for optimal portfolio selection in (re-)insurance is studied. For positive values of underwriting levels, the expected value of the accumulated result is optimized, under constraints on its…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2007-05-23 Erik Taflin

In this work, we consider extensions of the dual risk model with proportional gains by introducing a dependence structure between gain sizes and gain interrarrival times. Among others, we further consider the case where the proportional…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

Recent studies have demonstrated an interesting connection between the asymptotic behavior at ruin of a L\'evy insurance risk process under the Cram\'er-Lundberg and convolution equivalent conditions. For example, the limiting distributions…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-08 Philip S. Griffin

One possible way of risk management for an insurance company is to develop an early and appropriate alarm system before the possible ruin. The ruin is defined through the status of the aggregate risk process, which in turn is determined by…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-06-30 Shubhabrata Das , Marie Kratz

This paper stidies the first passage times to constant boundaries for mixed-exponential jump diffusion processes. Explicit solutions of the Laplace transforms of the distribution of the first passage times, the joint distribution of the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2014-06-18 Chuancun Yin , Yuzhen Wen , Zhaojun Zong , Ying Shen