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In this paper we consider some generalizations of the classical d-dimensional Brownian risk model. This contribution derives some non-asymptotic bounds for simultaneous ruin probabilities of interest. In addition, we obtain non-asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-17 Nikolai Kriukov

We examine hitting probability problems for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes and Geometric Brownian motions (GBM) with respect to exponential boundaries related to problems arising in risk theory and asset and liability models in pension…

概率论 · 数学 2023-12-14 Efstathia Bougioukli , Michael A. Zazanis

In this contribution we are concerned with the asymptotic behaviour as $u\to \infty$ of $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{t\in [0,T]} X_u(t)> u\}$, where $X_u(t),t\in [0,T],u>0$ is a family of centered Gaussian processes with continuous trajectories. A…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-20 L. Bai , K. Debicki , E. Hashorva , L. Ji

In this paper, we discuss the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with investments, where the price of the invested risk asset follows a geometric Brownian motion with drift $a$ and volatility $\sigma> 0.$ By assuming there is a cap on the claim sizes,…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-02 Shimao Fan , Sheng Xiong , Wei-Shih Yang

We consider a generalization of the classical risk model when the premium intensity depends on the current surplus of an insurance company. All surplus is invested in the risky asset, the price of which follows a geometric Brownian motion.…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-28 Yuliya Mishura , Mykola Perestyuk , Olena Ragulina

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company combines the life- and non-life insurance businesses and invests its reserve into a risky asset with stochastic volatility and drift driven by a two-state Markov process.…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-10 Anastasiya Ellanskaya , Yuri Kabanov

Let $B_{H}(t), t\geq [0,T], T\in(0,\infty)$ be the standard Multifractional Brownian Motion(mBm), in this contribution we are concerned with the exact asymptotics of \begin{eqnarray*} \mathbb{P}\left\{\sup_{t\in[0,T]}B_{H}(t)>u\right\}…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-02 Long Bai

Let $X(t)=(X_1(t), \dots, X_n(t)), t\in \mathcal{T}\subset \mathbb{R} $ be a centered vector-valued Gaussian process with independent components and continuous trajectories, and $h(t)=(h_1(t),\dots, h_n(t)), t\in \mathcal{T} $ be a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-09 Long Bai , Krzysztof Debicki , Peng Liu

Define a gamma-reflected process W_\gamma(t)=Y_H(t)-\gamma\inf_{s\in[0,t]}Y_H(s), t\ge0 with input process {Y_H(t), t\ge 0} which is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index H\in (0,1) and a negative linear trend. In risk theory…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-14 Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We consider a surplus process of drifted fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst index $H>1/2$, which appears as a functional limit of drifted compound Poisson risk models with correlated claims, and this is a kind of representation of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-22 Shota Nakamura , Yasutaka Shimizu

This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Viktor Antipov

Given a Gaussian risk process $R(t)=u+c(t)-X(t),t\ge 0$, the cumulative Parisian ruin probability on a finite time interval $[0,T]$ with respect to $L \geq 0$ is defined as the probability that the sojourn time that the risk process $R$…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-06 Svyatoslav M. Novikov

This paper studies risk balancing features in an insurance market by evaluating ruin probabilities for single and multiple components of a multivariate compound Poisson risk process. The dependence of the components of the process is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

In this paper, we study the ruin problem with investment in a general framework where the business part X is a L{\'e}vy process and the return on investment R is a semimartingale. We obtain upper bounds on the finite and infinite time ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-02 Lioudmila Vostrikova , Jérôme Spielmann

We study a dynamic model of a non-life insurance portfolio. The foundation of the model is a compound Poisson process that represents the claims side of the insurer. To introduce clusters of claims appearing, e.g. with catastrophic events,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-03 Jonathan Klinge , Maren Diane Schmeck

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

This paper derives an exact asymptotic expression for \[ \mathbb{P}_{\mathbf{x}_u}\{\exists_{t\ge0} \mathbf{X}(t)- \boldsymbol{\mu}t\in \mathcal{U} \}, \ \ {\rm as}\ \ u\to\infty, \] where $\mathbf{X}(t)=(X_1(t),\ldots,X_d(t))^\top,t\ge0$…

概率论 · 数学 2017-07-11 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-14 David J. Santana , Luis Rincón

We derive the exact asymptotics of \[ P\left( \sup_{t\ge 0} \Bigl( X_1(t) - \mu_1 t\Bigr)> u, \ \sup_{s\ge 0} \Bigl( X_2(s) - \mu_2 s\Bigr)> u \right), \ \ u\to\infty, \] where $(X_1(t),X_2(s))_{t,s\ge0}$ is a correlated two-dimensional…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-09 Krzysztof Debicki , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

In this paper, we are concerned with the numerical solution of one type integro-differential equation by a probability method based on the fundamental martingale of mixed Gaussian processes. As an application, we will try to simulate the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-08 Chunhao Cai , Weilin Xiao