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相关论文: Simultaneous Ruin Probability for Two-Dimensional …

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We start by showing that the finite-time absolute ruin probability in the classical risk model with constant interest force can be expressed in terms of the transition probability of a positive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process, say X. Our…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2010-06-15 Ronnie L. Loeffen , Pierre Patie

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

In this paper, we discuss the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with investments, where the price of the invested risk asset follows a geometric Brownian motion with drift $a$ and volatility $\sigma> 0.$ By assuming there is a cap on the claim sizes,…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-02 Shimao Fan , Sheng Xiong , Wei-Shih Yang

In this paper we study the asymptotic decay of finite time ruin probabilities for an insurance company that faces heavy-tailed claims, uses predictable investment strategies and makes investments in risky assets whose prices evolve…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog

For a risk process $R_u(t)=u+ct-X(t), t\ge 0$, where $u\ge 0$ is the initial capital, $c>0$ is the premium rate and $X(t),t\ge 0$ is an aggregate claim process, we investigate the probability of the Parisian ruin \[…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-20 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

In this paper we propose new iterative algorithm of calculating the joint distribution of the Parisian ruin time and the number of claims until Parisian ruin for the classical risk model. Examples are provided when the generic claim size is…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-21 Irmina Czarna , Yanhong Li , Zbigniew Palmowski , Chunming Zhao

In this paper we evaluate the probability of the discrete time Parisian ruin that occurs when surplus process stays below or at zero at least for some fixed duration of time $d>0$. We identify expressions for the ruin probabilities within…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-16 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Światek

In this paper, we are concerned with the numerical solution of one type integro-differential equation by a probability method based on the fundamental martingale of mixed Gaussian processes. As an application, we will try to simulate the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-08 Chunhao Cai , Weilin Xiao

We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

In this paper, we investigate the ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous risk models. By employing martingale method, the Lundberg-type inequalities of ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous renewal risk models are obtained under weak…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-05 Qianqian Zhou , Alexander Sakhanenko , Junyi Guo

We introduce a longevity feature to the classical optimal dividend problem by adding a constraint on the time of ruin of the firm. We extend the results in \cite{HJ15}, now in context of one-sided L\'evy risk models. We consider de…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-05-12 Camilo Hernandez , Mauricio Junca , Harold Moreno-Franco

We investigate, focusing on the ruin probability, an adaptation of the Cramer-Lundberg model for the surplus process of an insurance company, in which, conditionally on their intensities, the two mixed Poisson processes governing the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-06-27 Matija Vidmar

Following an article by Muller and Pflug, we study the adjustment coefficient of ruin theory in a context of temporal dependency. We provide a consistent estimator of this coefficient, and perform some simulations.

统计理论 · 数学 2009-01-05 H. Cossette , E. Marceau , V. Maume-Deschamps

In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-07-07 Yacine Koucha , Alfredo D. Egidio dos Reis

In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-11 Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

For two nonstandard renewal risk models, we investigate the precise large deviations of the finite-time ruin probability and a random sum of the net-loss process, and the asymptotics of the random-time ruin probability. Notably, in one of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-11 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

We introduce the concept of cumulative Parisian ruin, which is based on the time spent in the red by the underlying surplus process. Our main result is an explicit representation for the distribution of the occupation time, over a…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-24 Hélène Guérin , Jean-François Renaud

In this paper, we study a risk process modeled by a Brownian motion with drift (the diffusion approximation model). The insurance entity can purchase reinsurance to lower its risk and receive cash injections at discrete times to avoid ruin.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-12-20 Shangzhen Luo , Michael Taksar

We study solvency of insurers in a comprehensive model where various economic factors affect the capital developments of the companies. The main interest is in the impact of real growth to ruin probabilities. The volume of the business is…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-06 Harri Nyrhinen