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We investigate extreme value statistics (EVS) of general discrete time and continuous space symmetric jump processes. We first show that for unbounded jump processes, the semi-infinite propagator $G_0(x,n)$, defined as the probability for a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-09-08 Jérémie Klinger , Raphaël Voituriez , Olivier Bénichou

We derive a universal, exact asymptotic form of the splitting probability for symmetric continuous jump processes, which quantifies the probability $ \pi_{0,\underline{x}}(x_0)$ that the process crosses $x$ before 0 starting from a given…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-10-12 Jérémie Klinger , Raphaël Voituriez , Olivier Bénichou

First passage phenomena arise across physics, biology, and finance when stochastic processes first reach a threshold, triggering downstream events. Examples include the irreversible exit from a domain, a biochemical reaction, a financial…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-04-06 Maria R. D'Orsogna , Alan E. Lindsay , Thomas Hillen

Rare events in the first-passage distributions of jump processes are capable of triggering anomalous reactions or series of events. Estimating their probability is particularly important when the jump probabilities have broad-tailed…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-05-06 Alessandro Vezzani , Raffaella Burioni

L\'evy Flights are paradigmatic generalised random walk processes, in which the independent stationary increments---the "jump lengths"---are drawn from an $\alpha$-stable jump length distribution with long-tailed, power-law asymptote. As a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-08-26 A. Padash , A. V. Chechkin , B. Dybiec , I. Pavlyukevich , B. Shokri , R. Metzler

The mean first exit (passage) time characterizes the average time of a stochastic process never leaving a fixed region in the state space, while the escape probability describes the likelihood of a transition from one region to another for…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-28 Weihua Deng , Xiaochao Wu , Wanli Wang

We study the first-passage properties of a random walk in the unit interval in which the length of a single step is uniformly distributed over the finite range [-a,a]. For a of the order of one, the exit probabilities to each edge of the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 T. Antal , S. Redner

We consider one-dimensional discrete-time random walks (RWs) of $n$ steps, starting from $x_0=0$, with arbitrary symmetric and continuous jump distributions $f(\eta)$, including the important case of L\'evy flights. We study the statistics…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-11-22 Benjamin De Bruyne , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

In this paper we study the mean of the first exit time from a bounded interval of various L\'evy processes. We establish sharp two-sided estimates of the mean for L\'evy processes under certain condition on their characteristic exponents.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-13 Tomasz Grzywny

Let $N$ and $M$ be positive integers satisfying $1\le M\le N$, and let $0<p_0<p_1<1$. Define a process $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^\infty$ on $\mathbb{Z}$ as follows. At each step, the process jumps either one step to the right or one step to the left,…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-11 Ross G. Pinsky

We investigate the first-passage properties of bursty random walks on a finite one-dimensional interval of length L, in which unit-length steps to the left occur with probability close to one, while steps of length b to the right --…

统计力学 · 物理学 2010-06-28 D. Volovik , S. Redner

The mean first exit time and escape probability are utilized to quantify dynamical behaviors of stochastic differential equations with non-Gaussian alpha-stable type Levy motions. Both deterministic quantities are characterized by…

数值分析 · 数学 2012-01-31 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

For non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems, mean exit time and escape probability are important deterministic quantities, which can be obtained from integro-differential (nonlocal) equations. We develop an efficient and convergent…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-02-03 Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

We consider a discrete time random walk in one dimension. At each time step the walker jumps by a random distance, independent from step to step, drawn from an arbitrary symmetric density function. We show that the expected positive maximum…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Alain Comtet , Satya N. Majumdar

We investigate the first-passage properties of a jump process with a constant drift, focusing on two key observables: the first-passage time $\tau$ and the number of jumps $n$ before the first-passage event. By mapping the problem onto an…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-07-31 Ivan N. Burenev , Satya N. Majumdar

For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-08-17 Cecile Monthus

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with zero mean, finite second moment and regularly varying right distribution tail. Motivated by a stop-loss insurance model, we consider a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-05 Aaron Chong , Konstantin Borovkov

Starting from the model of continuous time random walk, we focus our interest on random walks in which the probability distributions of the waiting times and jumps have fat tails characterized by power laws with exponent between 0 and 1 for…

概率论 · 数学 2008-01-03 Rudolf Gorenflo , Entsar A. A. Abdel-Rehim

We study the mean first-passage time (MFPT) for asymmetric continuous-time random walks in continuous-space characterised by waiting-times with finite mean and by jump-sizes with both finite mean and finite variance. In the asymptotic…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-01-11 M. Dahlenburg , G. Pagnini

We evaluate the limit distribution of the maximal excursion of a random walk in any dimension for homogeneous environments and for self-similar supports under the assumption of spherical symmetry. This distribution is obtained in closed…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Roger Bidaux , Jerome Chave , Radim Vocka
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