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相关论文: Computation of ruin probabilities for general disc…

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We study the asymptotics of the ruin probability in the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with a modified notion of ruin. The modification is as follows. If the portfolio becomes negative, the asset is not immediately declared ruined but may survive…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-26 Frank Aurzada , Micha Buck

We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in random environment. Following recent interest in alternative ruin concepts, we assume that ruin occurs when an independent Poissonian observer sees…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-14 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

The classical Cramer-Lundberg model was the first attempt to describe the financial condition of the insurance company. The incomes were approximated by a steady stream of money, insurance payments were not limited and could take any value…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-09 B. H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn , A. Lechańska , J. K. Misiewicz

This paper considers a Cram\'er-Lundberg risk setting, where the components of the underlying model change over time. These components could be thought of as the claim arrival rate, the claim-size distribution, and the premium rate, but we…

In this note we consider the two-dimensional risk model introduced in Avram et al. \cite{APP08} with constant interest rate. We derive the integral-differential equations of the Laplace transforms, and asymptotic expressions for the finite…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-17 Ze-Chun Hu , Bin Jiang

In this paper, we study a risk process modeled by a Brownian motion with drift (the diffusion approximation model). The insurance entity can purchase reinsurance to lower its risk and receive cash injections at discrete times to avoid ruin.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-12-20 Shangzhen Luo , Michael Taksar

We present here a new extended model of the gambler's ruin problem by incorporating delays in receiving of rewards and paying of penalties. When there is a difference between two delays, an exact analysis of the ruin probability is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-10-23 Tomohisa Imai , Toru Ohira

We study modified ruin probabilities in a Cram\'er-Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process. In the heavy-tailed regime, if the integrated claim-size distribution is subexponential and the upper endpoint of the mixing…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-11 Noriyoshi Sakuma , Momoka Tashiro

Following an article by Muller and Pflug, we study the adjustment coefficient of ruin theory in a context of temporal dependency. We provide a consistent estimator of this coefficient, and perform some simulations.

统计理论 · 数学 2009-01-05 H. Cossette , E. Marceau , V. Maume-Deschamps

In this paper we study the joint ruin problem for two insurance companies that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions (modeling two branches of the same insurance company or an insurance and re-insurance…

概率论 · 数学 2007-11-16 Florin Avram , Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

The field of risk theory has traditionally focused on ruin-related quantities. In particular, the socalled Expected Discounted Penalty Function has been the object of a thorough study over the years. Although interesting in their own right,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-06-27 Zied Ben-Salah , Hélène Guérin , Manuel Morales , Hassan Omidi Firouzi

In this paper, we study Runge--Kutta methods for the computation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model through the associated Volterra integro-differential equation. The proposed framework combines fourth-order one-step and…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-26 George Kanakoudis , Lazaros Kanellopoulos

In this paper we study a class of risk-sensitive Markovian control problems in discrete time subject to model uncertainty. We consider a risk-sensitive discounted cost criterion with finite time horizon. The used methodology is the one of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-04-15 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Tao Chen , Igor Cialenco

We analyze the probability of ruin for the {\it scaled} classical Cram\'er-Lundberg (CL) risk process and the corresponding diffusion approximation. The scaling, introduced by Iglehart \cite{I1969} to the actuarial literature, amounts to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-06-18 Asaf Cohen , Virginia R. Young

In this work, we derive a complete characterization of all ruin-inducing probability measures that preserve the structure of a given compound renewal process in terms of suitable pairs of functions $(\gamma,\delta)$. This result allows us…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Apostolos Bozikas

The aim of this paper is to construct the confidence interval of the ultimate ruin probability under the insurance surplus driven by a L\'evy process. Assuming a parametric family for the L\'evy measures, we estimate the parameter from the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-15 Yasutaka Shimizu

We consider an insurance company in the case when the premium rate is a bounded non-negative random function $c_\zs{t}$ and the capital of the insurance company is invested in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-11-08 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Zeitouny Omar

We start by showing that the finite-time absolute ruin probability in the classical risk model with constant interest force can be expressed in terms of the transition probability of a positive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process, say X. Our…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2010-06-15 Ronnie L. Loeffen , Pierre Patie

Our paper explores a discrete-time risk model with time-varying premiums, investigating two types of correlated claims: main claims and by-claims. Settlement of the by-claims can be delayed for one time period, representing real-world…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-08-02 Dhiti Osatakul , Shuanming Li , Xueyuan Wu

In this note, we study the ultimate ruin probabilities of a real-valued L{\'e}vy process X with light-tailed negative jumps. It is well-known that, for such L{\'e}vy processes, the probability of ruin decreases as an exponential function…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-26 Jérôme Spielmann