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We find the optimal investment strategy in a Black-Scholes market to minimize the probability of so-called {\it lifetime exponential Parisian ruin}, that is, the probability that wealth exhibits an excursion below zero of an exponentially…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-04-27 Xiaoqing Liang , Virginia R. Young

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

De Finetti's optimal dividend problem has recently been extended to the case dividend payments can only be made at Poisson arrival times. This paper considers the version with bail-outs where the surplus must be nonnegative uniformly in…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-03 Kei Noba , José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki , Kouji Yano

Given an autoregressive process X of order p (i.e. X_n = a_1 X_{n-1} + ...+ a_p X_{n_p} + Y_n where the random variables Y_1, Y_2, ... are i.i.d.), we study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the process does not exceed a…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-17 Christoph Baumgarten

This paper studies risk balancing features in an insurance market by evaluating ruin probabilities for single and multiple components of a multivariate compound Poisson risk process. The dependence of the components of the process is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

Consider a surplus process which both of collected premium and payed claim size are two independent compound Poisson processes. This article derives two approximated formulas for the ruin probability of such surplus process, say double…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-20 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Dan Kucerovsky

For a multivariate L\'evy process satisfying the Cram\'er moment condition and having a drift vector with at least one negative component, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of ever hitting the positive orthant that is being…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-06 Konstantin Borovkov , Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper investigates a dividend optimization problem with a positive creeping-associated terminal value at ruin for spectrally negative Levy processes. We consider an insurance company whose surplus process evolves according to a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-10 Chongrui Zhu

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-02 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras

In this paper we consider two problems on optimal implementation delay of taxation with trade-off for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy insurance risk processes. In the first case, we assume that an insurance company starts to pay tax when its…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2019-10-21 Wenyuan Wang , Xueyuan Wu , Cheng Chi

We analyse the asymptotics of ruin probabilities of two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions when the initial reserves of both companies tend…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-02 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski , Tomasz Rolski

We compute the joint distribution of the first times a linear diffusion makes an excursion longer than some given duration above (resp. below) some fixed level. In the literature, such stopping times have been introduced and studied in the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-31 Christophe Profeta

We reprove a result concerning certain ruin in the classical problem of the probability of ruin with risky investments and several of it's generalisations. We also provide the combined transition density of the risk and investment processes…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-02 David Maher

We study the default risk in incomplete information. That means, we model the value of a firm by one L\'evy process which is the sum of brownian motion with drift and compound Poisson process. This L\'evy process can not be observed…

概率论 · 数学 2014-11-25 Waly Ngom

We consider a dual risk model with constant expense rate and i.i.d. exponentially distributed gains $C_i$ ($i=1,2,\dots$) that arrive according to a renewal process with general interarrival times. We add to this classical dual risk model…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-02 Onno Boxma , Esther Frostig , Zbigniew Palmowski

Let $\left\{\sum_{i=1}^n \lambda_i X_i(t), t\in [0,T]\right\}$ be an aggregate Gaussian risk process with $X_i, i\leq n$ independent Gaussian processes satisfying Piterbarg conditions and $\lambda_i$'s given positive weights. In this paper…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-24 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Zhongquan Tan

In this short note, we derive explicit formulas for the joint densities of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin in perturbed classical risk models, by constructing several auxiliary random processes.

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-22 Peng Liu , Chunsheng Zhang , Lanpeng Ji

This note is a complement to the paper by Eberlein, Kabanov, and Schmidt on the asymptotic of the ruin probability in a Sparre Andersen non-life insurance model with investments a risky asset whose price follows a geometric L\'evy process.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-08 Yuri Kabanov , Platon Promyslov

We consider de Finetti's optimal dividends problem with absolutely continuous strategies in a spectrally negative L\'evy model with Parisian ruin as the termination time. The problem considered is essentially a generalization of both the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-30 Félix Locas , Jean-François Renaud

We introduce a longevity feature to the classical optimal dividend problem by adding a constraint on the time of ruin of the firm. We extend the results in \cite{HJ15}, now in context of one-sided L\'evy risk models. We consider de…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-05-12 Camilo Hernandez , Mauricio Junca , Harold Moreno-Franco