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In this text, we establish the risk model based on AR(1) series and propose the basic model which has a dependent structure under intensity of claim number. Considering some properties of the risk model, we take advantage of newton…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-10-31 Wenhao Li , Bolong Wang , Tianxiang Shen , Ronghua Zhu , Dehui Wang

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper presents a novel model for bivariate stochastic fluid processes that incorporate a ruin-dependent behavioral switch. Unlike typical models that assume a shared underlying process, our model allows each process to operate…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-01 Hamed Amini , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-13 Olga Navickienė , Jonas Sprindys , Jonas Šiaulys

In this work, we consider extensions of the dual risk model with proportional gains by introducing a dependence structure between gain sizes and gain interrarrival times. Among others, we further consider the case where the proportional…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

This paper studies risk balancing features in an insurance market by evaluating ruin probabilities for single and multiple components of a multivariate compound Poisson risk process. The dependence of the components of the process is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival time distributions depending on the claims that arrived within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-22 Corina Constantinescu , Suhang Dai , Weihong Ni , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in random environment. Following recent interest in alternative ruin concepts, we assume that ruin occurs when an independent Poissonian observer sees…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-14 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

This survey treats the problem of ruin in a risk model when assets earn investment income. In addition to a general presentation of the problem, topics covered are a presentation of the relevant integro-differential equations, exact and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-18 Jostein Paulsen

This paper considers a Cram\'er-Lundberg risk setting, where the components of the underlying model change over time. These components could be thought of as the claim arrival rate, the claim-size distribution, and the premium rate, but we…

We introduce the hybrid risk process, constructed via a time-change transformation applied to the solution of a hybrid stochastic differential equation. The framework covers several modern ruin settings, incorporating features like…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-01 Oscar Peralta , Habacuq Vallejo

This note explores the mathematical theory to solve modern gamblers ruin problems. We establish a ruin framework and solve for the probability of bankruptcy. We also show how this relates to the expected time to bankruptcy and review the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-25 Salil Mehta

Using the results of precise large deviation and renewal theory for widely dependent random variables, this paper obtains the asymptotic estimation of the random-time ruin probability and the uniform asymptotic estimation of finite-time…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

In this short note, we derive explicit formulas for the joint densities of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin in perturbed classical risk models, by constructing several auxiliary random processes.

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-22 Peng Liu , Chunsheng Zhang , Lanpeng Ji

We investigate, focusing on the ruin probability, an adaptation of the Cramer-Lundberg model for the surplus process of an insurance company, in which, conditionally on their intensities, the two mixed Poisson processes governing the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-06-27 Matija Vidmar

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

The ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model can be explicitly calculated for both finite and infinite-time horizon. This is not the case for the simultaneous ruin probability in two-dimensional Brownian risk model. Resorting…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-13 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna
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