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Infectious diseases often involve multiple strains that interact through the immune response generated after an infection. This study investigates the conditions under which a two-strain epidemic model with partial cross-immunity can lead…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-12-11 Nir Gavish

Epidemic spreading and cascading failure are two important dynamical processes over complex networks. They have been investigated separately for a long history. But in the real world, these two dynamics sometimes may interact with each…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-19 Lurong Jiang , Xinyu Jin , Yongxiang Xia , Bo Ouyang , Duanpo Wu

We study the class of SIS epidemics on temporal networks and propose a new activity-driven and adaptive epidemic model that captures the impact of asymptomatic and infectious individuals in the network. In the proposed model, referred to as…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-04 Ashish R. Hota , Kavish Gupta

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

We investigate the evolution of epidemics over dynamical networks when nodes choose to interact with others in a selfish and decentralized manner. Specifically, we analyze the susceptible-asymptomatic-infected-recovered (SAIR) epidemic in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-09-28 Ashish R. Hota , Tanya Sneh , Kavish Gupta

The extinction and persistence of infective individuals are closely related to the random change of the environment. In this paper, via the random/stochastic SIRS models, we analyze qualitatively and quantitatively the impact caused by the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-01 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao

Exploiting the power of the expectation operator and indicator (or Bernoulli) random variables, we present the exact governing equations for both the SIR and SIS epidemic models on \emph{networks}. Although SIR and SIS are basic epidemic…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-02-10 Piet Van Mieghem

We study a simple model of epidemics where an infected node transmits the infection to its neighbors independently with probability $p$. This is also known as the independent cascade or Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model with fixed…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Yeganeh Alimohammadi , Christian Borgs , Amin Saberi

The infection dynamics of a population under stationary isolation conditions is modeled. It is underlined that the stationary character of the isolation measures can be expected to imply that an effective SIR model with constant parameters…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-10-19 Alejandro Cabo Montes de Oca , Nana Geraldine Cabo Bizet

We numerically study the dynamics of the SIR disease model on small-world networks by using a large-deviation approach. This allows us to obtain the probability density function of the total fraction of infected nodes and of the maximum…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-09-01 Yannick Feld , Alexander K. Hartmann

The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model is a canonical model for emerging disease outbreaks. Such outbreaks are naturally modeled as taking place on networks. A theoretical challenge in network epidemiology is the dynamic correlations…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-06-29 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi Wu , Michael Z. Q. Chen , Petter Holme , Jian-Yue Guan

The global behaviour of the compact pairwise approximation of SIS epidemic propagation on networks is studied. It is shown that the system can be reduced to two equations enabling us to carry out a detailed study of the dynamic properties…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-07-11 Noémi Nagy , Péter L. Simon

In this paper we consider a model for the spread of a stochastic SIR (Susceptible $\to$ Infectious $\to$ Recovered) epidemic on a network of individuals described by a random intersection graph. Individuals belong to a random number of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-29 Frank G. Ball , David J. Sirl , Pieter Trapman

We consider Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models on dense dynamic random graphs, in which the joint dynamics of vertices and edges are co-evolutionary, i.e., they influence each other bidirectionally. In particular, edges appear and…

We demonstrate that the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on complex networks can have an inactive Griffiths phase characterized by a slow relaxation dynamics. It contrasts with the mean field theoretical prediction that the SIS…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Hyun Keun Lee , Pyoung-Seop Shim , Jae Dong Noh

Recent studies on network geometry, a way of describing network structures as geometrical objects, are revolutionizing our way to understand dynamical processes on networked systems. Here, we cope with the problem of epidemic spreading,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-03-04 Joan T. Matamalas , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

We study the SIRS (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible) spreading processes over complex networks, by considering its exact $3^n$-state Markov chain model. The Markov chain model exhibits an interesting connection with its $2n$-state…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-03-17 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Babak Hassibi

Empirical studies suggest that contact patterns follow heterogeneous inter-event times, meaning that intervals of high activity are followed by periods of inactivity. Combined with birth and death of individuals, these temporal constraints…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-03-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Vincent D. Blondel

We present a stochastic model for two successive SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemics in the same network structured population. Individuals infected during the first epidemic might have (partial) immunity for the second one.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-10-29 Frank Ball , Abid Ali Lashari , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

In this work, we aim to understand the influence of the heterogeneity of infection rates on the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic spreading. Employing the classic SIS model as the benchmark, we study the influence of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-04-06 Bo Qu , Huijuan Wang