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This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

The recent rapid growth of social media and online social networks (OSNs) has raised interesting questions about the spread of ideas and fads within our society. In the past year, several papers have drawn analogies between the rise and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-08-30 Daniel Cooney , Francisco Prieto-Castrillo , Yaneer Bar-Yam

The SIR model is one of the most prototypical compartmental models in epidemiology. Generalizing this ordinary differential equation (ODE) framework into a spatially distributed partial differential equation (PDE) model is a considerable…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-07-11 Su Yang , Weiqi Chu , Panayotis Kevrekidis

We extend the N-Intertwined Mean-Field Approximation (NIMFA) for the Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible (SIS) epidemiological process to time-varying networks. Processes on time-varying networks are often analysed under the assumption that…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-04-11 Robin Persoons , Mattia Sensi , Bastian Prasse , Piet Van Mieghem

This paper analyses an SIRS-type model for infectious diseases with account for behavioural changes associated with the simultaneous spread of awareness in the population. Two types of awareness are included into the model: private…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-02-17 G. O. Agaba , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

Infectious diseases are practically represented by models with multiple states and complex transition rules corresponding to, for example, birth, death, infection, recovery, disease progression, and quarantine. In addition, networks…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Naoki Masuda , Norio Konno

The susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model describes the evolution of three species of individuals which are subject to an infection and recovery mechanism. A susceptible $S$ can become infectious with an infection rate $\beta$ by an…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-06-30 Gunter M. Schütz , Marian Brandau , Steffen Trimper

In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on $\mathbb Z^d$ we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-14 Duncan Dauvergne , Allan Sly

A numerical study of synchronization and extinction is done for a SIRS model with fixed infective and refractory periods, in the regime of high infectivity, on one- and two-dimensional networks for which the connectivity probability decays…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-05-22 Ezequiel Arceo-May , Cristian Fernando Moukarzel

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion $S$ and the infected…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-04-27 William G. Faris

We study the qualitative properties of a spatial diffusive heterogeneous SIR model, that appears in mathematical epidemiology to describe the spread of an infectious disease in a population. The model we consider consists in a system of…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2020-05-15 Romain Ducasse

We study a symmetric two-disease SIR co-infection model on networks in which co-infected individuals recover at a rate distinct from that of single infections. The model explicitly represents all co-infection states and features absorbing…

We study the long-time behavior of solutions of the SIRS model, a reaction-diffusion system that appears in epidemiology to describe the spread of epidemics. We allow the system to be heterogeneous periodic. Under some hypotheses on the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-02-02 Romain Ducasse , Maxime Laborde

We consider an SIR-type (Susceptible $\to$ Infected $\to$ Recovered) stochastic epidemic process with multiple modes of transmission on a contact network. The network is given by a random graph following a multilayer configuration model…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-08-22 Karly A. Jacobsen , Mark G. Burch , Joseph H. Tien , Grzegorz A. Rempała

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

A dynamic model of a society is studied where each person is an uncorrelated and non-interacting random walker. A dynamical random graph represents the acquaintance network of the society whose nodes are the individuals and links are the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 S. S. Manna

In this article, we present a modification to the network-based stochastic SEIR epidemic model which allows for modifications to the underlying contact network to account for the effects of quarantine. We also discuss the changes needed to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-05 Chris Groendyke , Adam Combs

In this paper we analyze continuous-time SIS epidemics subject to arrivals and departures of agents, by using an approximated process based on replacements. In defining the SIS dynamics in an open network, we consider a stochastic setting…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-26 Renato Vizuete , Paolo Frasca , Elena Panteley

We study the classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of an infectious disease. In this stochastic process, there are two competing mechanism: infection and recovery. Susceptible individuals may contract the disease…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-05-08 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky