相关论文: On the exact survival probability by setting discr…
Based on a discrete version of the Pollaczeck-Khinchine formula, a general method to calculate the ultimate ruin probability in the Gerber-Dickson risk model is provided when claims follow a negative binomial mixture distribution. The…
In this work we set up the distribution function of $\mathcal{M}:=\sup_{n\geqslant1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}{(Z_i-1)}$, where the random walk $\sum_{i=1}^{n}Z_i, n\in\mathbb{N},$ is generated by $N$ periodically occurring distributions and the…
We study a general perturbed risk process with cumulative claims modelled by a subordinator with finite expectation, with the perturbation being a spectrally negative Levy process with zero expectation. We derive a Pollaczek-Hinchin type…
In this paper, we set up the distribution function $$ \varphi(u)=\mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{n\geqslant 1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_i-\kappa\right)<u\right), $$ and the generating function of $\varphi(u+1)$, where $u\in\mathbb{N}_0$,…
We propose an extension of the regular Cox's proportional hazards model which allows the estimation of the probabilities of rare events. It is known that when the data are heavily censored at the upper end of the survival distribution, the…
We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…
We study a generalized risk process $X(t)=Y(t)-C(t)$, $t\in[0,\tau]$, where $Y$ is a L\'evy process, $C$ an independent subordinator and $\tau$ an independent exponential time. Dropping the standard assumptions on the finite expectations of…
In this paper a quantitative analysis of the ruin probability in finite time of discrete risk process with proportional reinsurance and investment of finance surplus is focused on. It is assumed that the total loss on a unit interval has a…
This paper obtains an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability of the compound nonhomogeneous Poisson risk model with a constant interest force, in which the claims are conditionally independent random variables with a common…
We analyze $2\times 2$ Hankel-like determinants $D_n$ that arise in the initial values problem for the ultimate time survival probability $\varphi(u)$ in a homogeneous discrete time risk model $W(n)=u+\kappa n+\sum_{i=1}^nZ_i$, where $Z_i$…
In the analysis of survival data, it is usually assumed that any unit will experience the event of interest if it is observed for a sufficient long time. However, one can explicitly assume that an unknown proportion of the population under…
We consider the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg risk model with claim sizes that are mixtures of phase-type and subexponential variables. Exploiting a specific geometric compound representation, we propose control variate techniques to…
In this work we set up the generating function of the ultimate time survival probability $\varphi(u+1)$, where $$\varphi(u)=\mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{n\geqslant 1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_i-\kappa\right)<u\right)$$ and…
We start by showing that the finite-time absolute ruin probability in the classical risk model with constant interest force can be expressed in terms of the transition probability of a positive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process, say X. Our…
In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…
In this work, we derive a complete characterization of all ruin-inducing probability measures that preserve the structure of a given compound renewal process in terms of suitable pairs of functions $(\gamma,\delta)$. This result allows us…
In this paper, we consider the problem of minimizing the ruin probability of an insurance company in which the surplus process follows the Sparre Andersen model. Similar to Bai et al. \cite{bai2017optimal}, we recast this problem in a…
This paper deals with the discrete-time risk model with nonidentically distributed claims. We suppose that the claims repeat with time periods of three units, that is, claim distributions coincide at times $\{1,4,7,\ldots\}$, at times…
We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival time distributions depending on the claims that arrived within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative…
The limitations resulting from the dichtomisation of continuous outcomes have been extensively described. But the need to present results based on binary outcomes in particular in health science remains. Alternatives based on the…