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Consider an insurance company exposed to a stochastic economic environment that contains two kinds of risk. The first kind is the insurance risk caused by traditional insurance claims, and the second kind is the financial risk resulting…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-29 Jinzhu Li , Qihe Tang

In this paper, we consider the optimal dividends problem for a company whose cash reserves follow a general Levy process with certain positive jumps and arbitrary negative jumps. The objective is to find a policy which maximizes the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-27 Chuancun Yin , Kam Chuen Yuen , Ying Shen

In this paper we study the draw-down related Parisian ruin problem for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy risk processes. We introduce the draw-down Parisian ruin time and solve the corresponding two-sided exit time via excursion theory. We also…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-25 Wenyuan Wang , Xiaowen Zhou

We consider the problem of minimizing the probability of ruin by purchasing reinsurance whose premium is computed according to the mean-variance premium principle, a combination of the expected-value and variance premium principles. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-07-07 Xiaoqing Liang , Zhibin Liang , Virginia R. Young

In this paper we evaluate the probability of the discrete time Parisian ruin that occurs when surplus process stays below or at zero at least for some fixed duration of time $d>0$. We identify expressions for the ruin probabilities within…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-16 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Światek

We develop sharp large deviation asymptotics for the probability of ruin in a Markov-dependent stochastic economic environment and study the extremes for some related Markovian processes which arise in financial and insurance mathematics,…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-01 Jeffrey F. Collamore

We prove that a large class of discrete-time insurance surplus processes converge weakly to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, under a suitable re-normalization and when the time-step goes to 0. Motivated by ruin theory, we use this…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-16 Yuchao Dong , Jérôme Spielmann

In this paper, we build on the techniques developed in Albrecher et al. (2013), to generate initial-boundary value problems for ruin probabilities of surplus-dependent premium risk processes, under a renewal case scenario, Erlang (2) claim…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-12 Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Jing Wang

This paper studies risk balancing features in an insurance market by evaluating ruin probabilities for single and multiple components of a multivariate compound Poisson risk process. The dependence of the components of the process is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

We study risk processes with level dependent premium rate. Assuming that the premium rate converges, as the risk reserve increases, to the critical value in the net-profit condition, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-07 Denis Denisov , Niklas Gotthardt , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

This note is a complement to the paper by Eberlein, Kabanov, and Schmidt on the asymptotic of the ruin probability in a Sparre Andersen non-life insurance model with investments a risky asset whose price follows a geometric L\'evy process.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-08 Yuri Kabanov , Platon Promyslov

Assume that claims in a portfolio of insurance contracts are described by independent and identically distributed random variables with regularly varying tails and occur according to a near mixed Poisson process. We provide a collection of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-26 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Christian Robert , Jef Teugels

We study the discrete time risk process modelled by the skip-free random walk and we derive the results connected to the ruin probability, such as crossing the fixed level, for this kind of process. We use the method relying on the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-08 Ivana Geček Tuđen

Survival models are used to analyze time-to-event data in a variety of disciplines. Proportional hazard models provide interpretable parameter estimates, but proportional hazards assumptions are not always appropriate. Non-parametric models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-08 Richard D. Payne , Nilabja Guha , Bani K. Mallick

We study a multidimensional renewal risk model, with common counting process and cadlag returns. Considering that the claim vectors have common distribution from some multivariate distribution class with heavy tail, are mutually weakly…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-18 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

For a given centered Gaussian process with stationary increments $\{X(t), t\geq 0\}$ and $c>0$, let $$ W_\gamma(t)=X(t)-ct-\gamma\inf_{0\leq s\leq t}\left(X(s)-cs\right), \quad t\geq 0$$ denote the $\gamma$-reflected process, where…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-08 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Peng Liu

We explicitly find the rate of exponential long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent L\'evy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows to reduce the pro blem to long-term convergence of a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-02 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Andrey Sarantsev

The present work concerns the finite-time ruin probabilities for several bidimensional risk models with constant interest force and correlated Brownian motions.} Under the condition that the two Brownian motions $\{B_1(t), t\ge 0\}$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-29 Dan Zhu , Ming Zhou , Chuancun Yin

We investigate the behavior of L\'{e}vy processes with convolution equivalent L\'{e}vy measures, up to the time of first passage over a high level u. Such problems arise naturally in the context of insurance risk where u is the initial…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-23 Philip S. Griffin

Parisian ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model, unlike the standard ruin probability can not be explicitly calculated even in one-dimensional setup. Resorting on asymptotic theory, we derive in this contribution an…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-28 Nikolai Kriukov