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相关论文: Finite Time Ruin Probabilities for Tempered Stable…

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It has been decades since the academic world of ruin theory defined the insolvency of an insurance company as the time when its surplus falls below zero. This simplification, however, needs careful adaptions to imitate the real-world…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-06 Aili Zhang , Ping Chen , Shuanming Li , Wenyuan Wang

Let $\{X(t),t\ge0\}$ be a centered Gaussian process and let $\gamma$ be a non-negative constant. In this paper we study the asymptotics of $P\{\underset{t\in [0,\mathcal{T}/u^\gamma]}\sup X(t)>u\}$ as $u\to\infty$, with $\mathcal{T}$ an…

概率论 · 数学 2013-11-26 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

In this paper a class of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes is considered. The jumps arrive with exponential waiting times and are allowed to be two-sided. The jumps are assumed to form an iid sequence with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-01 Anders Rønn-Nielsen

In this paper, we obtain the finite-horizon and infinite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics for risk processes with claims of subexponential tails for non-stationary arrival processes that satisfy a large deviation principle. As a result,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

Inspired by works of Landriault et al. \cite{LRZ-0, LRZ}, we study discounted penalties at ruin for surplus dynamics driven by a spectrally negative L\'evy process with Parisian implementation delays. To be specific, we study the so-called…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-13 E. J. Baurdoux , J. C. Pardo , J. L. Pérez , J. -F. Renaud

This paper focuses on a discrete-time risk model in which both insurance risk and financial risk are taken into account. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the ruin probability and the tail probability of the aggregate risk amount.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhu Li

We propose a new method for the estimation of a semiparametric tempered stable L\'{e}vy model. The estimation procedure combines iteratively an approximate semiparametric method of moment estimator, Truncated Realized Quadratic Variations…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-25 José E. Figueroa-López , Ruoting Gong , Yuchen Han

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. In this paper, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of Parisian ruin on infinite time horizon for the following risk process \begin{align}\label{Rudef}…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-21 Long Bai

Stable distributions are a celebrated class of probability laws used in various fields. The $\alpha$-stable process, and its exponentially tempered counterpart, the Classical Tempered Stable (CTS) process, are also prominent examples of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-10 Taher Jalal

In this paper we consider the Parisian ruin probabilities for the dual risk model in a discrete-time setting. By exploiting the strong Markov property of the risk process we derive a recursive expression for the fnite-time Parisian ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-24 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

We derive a closed-form (infinite series) representation for the distribution of the ruin time for the Sparre Andersen model with exponentially distributed claims. This extends a recent result of Dickson et al. (2005) for such processes…

概率论 · 数学 2007-09-07 K. A. Borovkov , D. C. M. Dickson

In recent years there has been some focus on quasi-stationary behaviour of an one-dimensional L\'evy process $X$, where we ask for the law $P(X_t\in dy | \tau^-_0>t)$ for $t\to\infty$ and $\tau_0^-=\inf\{t\geq 0: X_t<0\}$. In this paper we…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-15 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper investigates the Parisian ruin probability for processes with power-asymmetric behavior of the variance near the unique optimal point. We derive the exact asymptotics as the ruin boundary tends to infinity and extend the previous…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-12 Pavel Ievlev

We study the rough asymptotic behaviour of a general economic risk model in a discrete setting. Both financial and insurance risks are taken into account. Loss during the first $n$ years is modelled as a random variable…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-25 Jaakko Lehtomaa

For a bivariate \Levy process $(\xi_t,\eta_t)_{t\ge 0}$ and initial value $V_0$ define the Generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GOU) process \[ V_t:=e^{\xi_t}\Big(V_0+\int_0^t e^{-\xi_{s-}}\ud \eta_s\Big),\quad t\ge0,\] and the associated…

概率论 · 数学 2011-01-06 Damien Bankowski , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-14 David J. Santana , Luis Rincón

We derive formulas for the moments of the ruin time in a L\'evy risk model and use these to determine the asymptotic behavior of the moments of the ruin time as the initial capital tends to infinity. In the special case of the perturbed…

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-02 Philipp Lukas Strietzel , Anita Behme

In this contribution we are concerned with the asymptotic behaviour as $u\to \infty$ of $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{t\in [0,T]} X_u(t)> u\}$, where $X_u(t),t\in [0,T],u>0$ is a family of centered Gaussian processes with continuous trajectories. A…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-20 L. Bai , K. Debicki , E. Hashorva , L. Ji

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-11 Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

This paper presents some new results on Parisian ruin under Levy insurance risk process, where ruin occurs when the process has gone below a fixed level from the last record maximum, also known as the high-water mark or drawdown, for a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-07 B. A. Surya