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Based on a discrete version of the Pollaczeck-Khinchine formula, a general method to calculate the ultimate ruin probability in the Gerber-Dickson risk model is provided when claims follow a negative binomial mixture distribution. The…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-03 David J. Santana , Luis Rincon

We study the asymptotics of the ruin probability in the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with a modified notion of ruin. The modification is as follows. If the portfolio becomes negative, the asset is not immediately declared ruined but may survive…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-26 Frank Aurzada , Micha Buck

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

In this paper, we study the ruin problem with investment in a general framework where the business part X is a L{\'e}vy process and the return on investment R is a semimartingale. We obtain upper bounds on the finite and infinite time ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-02 Lioudmila Vostrikova , Jérôme Spielmann

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival time distributions depending on the claims that arrived within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-22 Corina Constantinescu , Suhang Dai , Weihong Ni , Zbigniew Palmowski

Let $\textbf{Z}(t)=(Z_1(t) ,\ldots, Z_d(t))^\top , t \in \mathbb{R}$ where $Z_i(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$, $i=1,...,d$ are mutually independent centered Gaussian processes with continuous sample paths a.s. and stationary increments. For…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-27 Krzysztof Bisewski , Krzysztof Debicki , Nikolai Kriukov

Consider a multi-dimensional Brownian motion which models the surplus processes of multiple lines of business of an insurance company. Our main result gives exact asymptotics for the cumulative Parisian ruin probability as the initial…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-28 Lanpeng Ji

We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. Define a risk process \label{Rudef} R_u^{\delta}(t)=e^{\delta t}\left(u+c\int^{t}_{0}e^{-\delta s}d s-\sigma\int_{0}^{t}e^{-\delta s}d B(s)\right), t\geq0, where $u\geq 0$ is the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-14 Long Bai , Li Luo

This paper deals with the discrete-time risk model with nonidentically distributed claims. We suppose that the claims repeat with time periods of three units, that is, claim distributions coincide at times $\{1,4,7,\ldots\}$, at times…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Andrius Grigutis , Agneška Korvel , Jonas Šiaulys

In this work, we derive a complete characterization of all ruin-inducing probability measures that preserve the structure of a given compound renewal process in terms of suitable pairs of functions $(\gamma,\delta)$. This result allows us…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Apostolos Bozikas

We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Viktor Antipov

In this paper we investigate Gaussian risk models which include financial elements such as inflation and interest rates. For some general models for inflation and interest rates, we obtain an asymptotic expansion of the finite-time ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-01 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

Lundberg-type inequalities for ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous risk models are presented in this paper. By employing martingale method, the upper bounds of ruin probabilities are obtained for the general risk models under weak…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-05 Qianqian Zhou , Alexander Sakhanenko , Junyi Guo

We study a ruin problem for an annuity model where a fixed fraction of capital is invested in a risky asset. Under weak assumptions on jumps, the ruin probability solves a second-order integro-differential equation and decays as a power…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-06 Platon Promyslov

For a bivariate \Levy process $(\xi_t,\eta_t)_{t\geq 0}$ the generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GOU) process is defined as \[V_t:=e^{\xi_t}(z+\int_0^t e^{-\xi_{s-}}\ud \eta_s), t\ge0,\]where $z\in\mathbb{R}.$ We present conditions on the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-05 Damien Bankovsky

We study a general perturbed risk process with cumulative claims modelled by a subordinator with finite expectation, with the perturbation being a spectrally negative Levy process with zero expectation. We derive a Pollaczek-Hinchin type…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-07 Miljenko Huzak , Mihael Perman , Hrvoje Sikic , Zoran Vondracek

We study solvency of insurers in a comprehensive model where various economic factors affect the capital developments of the companies. The main interest is in the impact of real growth to ruin probabilities. The volume of the business is…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-06 Harri Nyrhinen