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In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

We study the asymptotic behavior of ruin probabilities, as the initial reserve goes to infinity, for a reserve process model where claims arrive according to a renewal process, while between the claim times the process has the dynamics of…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-24 Ying He , Konstantin Borovkov

We prove that a large class of discrete-time insurance surplus processes converge weakly to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, under a suitable re-normalization and when the time-step goes to 0. Motivated by ruin theory, we use this…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-16 Yuchao Dong , Jérôme Spielmann

Let $\left\{\sum_{i=1}^n \lambda_i X_i(t), t\in [0,T]\right\}$ be an aggregate Gaussian risk process with $X_i, i\leq n$ independent Gaussian processes satisfying Piterbarg conditions and $\lambda_i$'s given positive weights. In this paper…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-24 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Zhongquan Tan

We consider a generalization of the classical risk model when the premium intensity depends on the current surplus of an insurance company. All surplus is invested in the risky asset, the price of which follows a geometric Brownian motion.…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-28 Yuliya Mishura , Mykola Perestyuk , Olena Ragulina

We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-14 David J. Santana , Luis Rincón

In this note we consider the two-dimensional risk model introduced in Avram et al. \cite{APP08} with constant interest rate. We derive the integral-differential equations of the Laplace transforms, and asymptotic expressions for the finite…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-17 Ze-Chun Hu , Bin Jiang

For a bivariate \Levy process $(\xi_t,\eta_t)_{t\ge 0}$ and initial value $V_0$ define the Generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GOU) process \[ V_t:=e^{\xi_t}\Big(V_0+\int_0^t e^{-\xi_{s-}}\ud \eta_s\Big),\quad t\ge0,\] and the associated…

概率论 · 数学 2011-01-06 Damien Bankowski , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

In this paper, we consider a classical risk model refracted at given level. We give an explicit expression for the joint density of the ruin time and the cumulative number of claims counted up to ruin time. The proof is based on solving…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-28 Yanhong Li , Zbigniew Palmowski , Chunming Zhao , Chunsheng Zhang

In this paper a class of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes is considered. The jumps arrive with exponential waiting times and are allowed to be two-sided. The jumps are assumed to form an iid sequence with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-01 Anders Rønn-Nielsen

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

In this short note, we derive explicit formulas for the joint densities of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin in perturbed classical risk models, by constructing several auxiliary random processes.

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-22 Peng Liu , Chunsheng Zhang , Lanpeng Ji

In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-07-07 Yacine Koucha , Alfredo D. Egidio dos Reis

In this paper we study the joint ruin problem for two insurance companies that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions (modeling two branches of the same insurance company or an insurance and re-insurance…

概率论 · 数学 2007-11-16 Florin Avram , Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

In this note, we study the ultimate ruin probabilities of a real-valued L{\'e}vy process X with light-tailed negative jumps. It is well-known that, for such L{\'e}vy processes, the probability of ruin decreases as an exponential function…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-26 Jérôme Spielmann

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. In this paper, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of Parisian ruin on infinite time horizon for the following risk process \begin{align}\label{Rudef}…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-21 Long Bai

In this paper, we study finite-time ruin probabilities for the compound Markov binomial risk model - a discrete-time model where claim sizes are modulated by a finite-state ergodic Markov chain. In the classic (non-modulated) case, the risk…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-23 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

We study the probability of ruin before time $t$ for the family of tempered stable L\'evy insurance risk processes, which includes the spectrally positive inverse Gaussian processes. Numerical approximations of the ruin time distribution…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-08 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller , Dale Roberts

Let $\{B(t), t\ge 0\}$ be a Brownian motion. Consider the Brownian motion risk model with interest rate collection and tax payment defined by \begin{align}\label{Rudef}…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-14 Long Bai , Peng Liu

The present work concerns the finite-time ruin probabilities for several bidimensional risk models with constant interest force and correlated Brownian motions.} Under the condition that the two Brownian motions $\{B_1(t), t\ge 0\}$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-29 Dan Zhu , Ming Zhou , Chuancun Yin
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