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We investigate, focusing on the ruin probability, an adaptation of the Cramer-Lundberg model for the surplus process of an insurance company, in which, conditionally on their intensities, the two mixed Poisson processes governing the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-06-27 Matija Vidmar

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-02 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras

Contemporary insurance theory is concentrated on models with different types of polices and shock events may influence the payments on some of them. Jordanova (2018) considered a model where a shock event contributes to the total claim…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-28 Pavlina Jordanova , Evelina Veleva , Kosto Mitov

Consider a surplus process which both of collected premium and payed claim size are two independent compound Poisson processes. This article derives two approximated formulas for the ruin probability of such surplus process, say double…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-20 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Dan Kucerovsky

We study a multidimensional renewal risk model, with common counting process and cadlag returns. Considering that the claim vectors have common distribution from some multivariate distribution class with heavy tail, are mutually weakly…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-18 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

In this note we give, for a spectrally negative Levy process, a compact formula for the Parisian ruin probability, which is defined by the probability that the process exhibits an excursion below zero, with a length that exceeds a certain…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-22 Ronnie Loeffen , Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski

We give a construction of the Hawkes process as a piecewise competing risks model. We argue that the most natural interpretation of the self-excitation kernel is the hazard function of a defective random variable. This establishes a link…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Maximilian Aigner , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

In this paper, we generalise the results presented in the literature for the ruin probability for the insurer--reinsurer model under a pro-rata reinsurance contract. We consider claim amounts that are described by a phase-type distribution…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-15 Krzysztof Burnecki , Zbigniew Palmowski , Marek Teuerle , Aleksandra Wilkowska

The goal is to identify the class of distributions to which the distribution of the maximum of a L\'evy process with no negative jumps and negative mean (equivalently, the stationary distribution of the reflected process) belongs. An…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-09 Offer Kella

We consider the multivariate risk model with common renewal process among the lines of business, and Brownian perturbations. Assuming that the integrated tail distribution of claims is multivariate subexponential, we establish an asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-24 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides

The generalized perturbative approach is an all purpose variant of Stein's method used to obtain rates of normal approximation. Originally developed for functions of independent random variables this method is here extended to functions of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-12 Christian Houdré , George Kerchev

We consider a bivariate Cramer-Lundberg-type risk reserve process with the special feature that each insurance company agrees to cover the deficit of the other. It is assumed that the capital transfers between the companies are…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-05 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Onno Boxma

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-11 Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

We consider the problem of determining escape probabilities from an interval of a general compound renewal process with drift. This problem is reduced to the solution of a certain integral equation. In an actuarial situation where only…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-30 Javier Villarroel , Juan A. Vega , Miquel Montero

In this paper, we introduce an insurance ruin model with adaptive premium rate, thereafter refered to as restructuring/refraction, in which classical ruin and bankruptcy are distinguished. In this model, the premium rate is increased as…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-21 Jean-François Renaud

Let $\left\{\sum_{i=1}^n \lambda_i X_i(t), t\in [0,T]\right\}$ be an aggregate Gaussian risk process with $X_i, i\leq n$ independent Gaussian processes satisfying Piterbarg conditions and $\lambda_i$'s given positive weights. In this paper…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-24 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Zhongquan Tan

In this work, we derive a complete characterization of all ruin-inducing probability measures that preserve the structure of a given compound renewal process in terms of suitable pairs of functions $(\gamma,\delta)$. This result allows us…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Apostolos Bozikas

This paper studies the properties of the Multiply Iterated Poisson Process (MIPP), a stochastic process constructed by repeatedly time-changing a Poisson process, and its applications in ruin theory. Like standard Poisson processes, MIPPs…

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

We introduce the hybrid risk process, constructed via a time-change transformation applied to the solution of a hybrid stochastic differential equation. The framework covers several modern ruin settings, incorporating features like…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-01 Oscar Peralta , Habacuq Vallejo