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There is empirical evidence that recovery rates tend to go down just when the number of defaults goes up in economic downturns. This has to be taken into account in estimation of the capital against credit risk required by Basel II to cover…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-11-03 Pavel V. Shevchenko , Xiaolin Luo

This paper explores the capabilities of the Constant Elasticity of Variance model driven by a mixed-fractional Brownian motion (mfCEV) [Axel A. Araneda. The fractional and mixed-fractional CEV model. Journal of Computational and Applied…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-15 Axel A. Araneda

This paper considers a variant of the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg model that is particularly appropriate in the credit context, with the distinguishing feature that it corresponds to a finite number of obligors. The focus is on computing…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-07 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes

This article presents a new model for valuing a credit default swap (CDS) contract that is affected by multiple credit risks of the buyer, seller and reference entity. We show that default dependency has a significant impact on asset…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-03-22 Alan White

This paper presents a convenient framework for modeling default process and pricing derivative securities involving credit risk. The framework provides an integrated view of credit valuation adjustment by linking distance-to-default,…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2023-09-08 David Xiao

A multi-dimensional extension of the structural default model with firms' values driven by diffusion processes with Marshall-Olkin-inspired correlation structure is presented. Semi-analytical methods for solving the forward calibration…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-06-15 Alexander Lipton , Ioana Savescu

The issue of model risk in default modeling has been known since inception of the Academic literature in the field. However, a rigorous treatment requires a description of all the possible models, and a measure of the distance between a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-17 Roberto Fontana , Elisa Luciano , Patrizia Semeraro

Evaluation of default correlation is an important task in credit risk analysis. In many practical situations, it concerns the joint defaults of several correlated firms, the task that is reducible to a first passage time (FPT) problem. This…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-20 Di Zhang , Roderick V. N. Melnik

We propose a unified structural credit risk model incorporating both insolvency and illiquidity risks, in order to investigate how a firm's default probability depends on the liquidity risk associated with its financing structure. We assume…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-04-01 Gechun Liang , Eva Lütkebohmert , Wei Wei

The risk of a credit portfolio depends crucially on correlations between the probability of default (PD) in different economic sectors. Often, PD correlations have to be estimated from relatively short time series of default rates, and the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Bernd Rosenow , Rafael Weissbach , Frank Altrock

We present a general framework for the estimation of corporate default based on a firm's capital structure, when its assets are assumed to follow a pure jump L\'evy processes; this setup provides a natural extension to usual default metrics…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-08-13 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Nicolas Pesci , Victor James

We consider the effect of recovery rates on a pool of credit assets. We allow the recovery rate to depend on the defaults in a general way. Using the theory of large deviations, we study the structure of losses in a pool consisting of a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-11-23 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Richard B. Sowers

There are many studies on development of models for analyzing some derivatives such as credit default swaps .

证券定价 · 定量金融 2017-06-20 Zahra Sokoot , Navideh Modarresi , Farzaneh Niknejad

We compare observed corporate cumulative default probabilities to those calculated using a stochastic model based on an extension of the work of Black and Cox and find that corporations default as if via diffusive dynamics. The model, based…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Ting Lei , Raymond J. Hawkins

This paper considers mutual obligations in the interconnected bank system and analyzes their influence on joint and marginal survival probabilities as well as CDS and FTD prices for the individual banks. To make the role of mutual…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-05-11 Andrey Itkin , Alexander Lipton

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, much attention has been paid to investigating the appropriateness of the current practice of default risk modeling in banking, finance and insurance industries. A recent empirical study by…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2013-06-28 Jia-Wen Gu , Bo Jiang , Wai-Ki Ching , Harry Zheng

This article deals with the problem of optimal allocation of capital to corporate bonds in fixed income portfolios when there is the possibility of correlated defaults. Using a multivariate normal Copula function for the joint default…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Mark B. Wise , Vineer Bhansali

Credit Default Swaps (CDS) on a reference entity may be traded in multiple currencies, in that protection upon default may be offered either in the domestic currency where the entity resides, or in a more liquid and global foreign currency.…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-01-23 Damiano Brigo , Nicola Pede , Andrea Petrelli

Public debt is one of the important economic variables that quantitatively describes a nation's economy. Because bankruptcy is a risk faced even by institutions as large as governments (e.g. Iceland), national debt should be strictly…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-06-04 Alexander M. Petersen , Boris Podobnik , Davor Horvatic , H. Eugene Stanley

In this paper we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default probabilities depending on some dynamics parameters, and we show how to calibrate the model using a chosen number of Credit Default Swap (CDS) market quotes. We…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-12-17 Damiano Brigo , Marco Tarenghi