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In the paper we study dynamics of the arbitrage prices of credit default swaps within a hazard process model of credit risk. We derive these dynamics without postulating that the immersion property is satisfied between some relevant…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-19 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Monique Jeanblanc , Marek Rutkowski

In this paper, we propose a method that provides a useful technique to compare relationship between risks involved that takes customer become defaulter and debt collection process that might make this defaulter recovered. Through estimation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

Transition risk can be defined as the business-risk related to the enactment of green policies, aimed at driving the society towards a sustainable and low-carbon economy. In particular, the value of certain firms' assets can be lower…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2023-03-23 Giulia Livieri , Davide Radi , Elia Smaniotto

We present a class of flexible and tractable static factor models for the term structure of joint default probabilities, the factor copula models. These high-dimensional models remain parsimonious with pair-copula constructions, and nest…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-01-19 Damien Ackerer , Thibault Vatter

We propose a novel credit default model that takes into account the impact of macroeconomic information and contagion effect on the defaults of obligors. We use a set-valued Markov chain to model the default process, which is the set of all…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-08-31 Dianfa Chen , Jun Deng , Jianfen Feng , Bin Zou

In the paper [Hainaut, D. and Colwell, D.B., {\rm A structural model for credit risk with switching processes and synchronous jumps}, The European Journal of Finance 22(11) (2016): 1040-1062], the authors exploit a synchronous-jump…

The recent "correlation breakdown" in the modeling of credit default swaps, in which model correlations had to exceed 100% in order to reproduce market prices of supersenior tranches, is analyzed and argued to be a fundamental market…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-09-01 Rodanthy Tzani , Alexios P. Polychronakos

A three-dimensional extension of the structural default model with firms' values driven by correlated diffusion processes is presented. Green's function based semi-analytical methods for solving the forward calibration problem and backward…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-07-26 Alexander Lipton , Ioana Savescu

We introduce a novel class of credit risk models in which the drift of the survival process of a firm is a linear function of the factors. The prices of defaultable bonds and credit default swaps (CDS) are linear-rational in the factors.…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-23 Damien Ackerer , Damir Filipović

This paper presents comparison results and establishes risk bounds for credit portfolios within classes of Bernoulli mixture models, assuming conditionally independent defaults that are stochastically increasing with a common risk factor.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-12-24 Jonathan Ansari , Eva Lütkebohmert

We study a simple, solvable model that allows us to investigate effects of credit contagion on the default probability of individual firms, in both portfolios of firms and on an economy wide scale. While the effect of interactions may be…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn

We introduce an infectious default and recovery model for N obligors. Obligors are assumed to be exchangeable and their states are described by N Bernoulli random variables S_{i} (i=1,...,N). They are expressed by multiplying independent…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Ayaka Sakata , Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori

The writers propose a mathematical Method for deriving risk weights which describe how a borrower's income, relative to their debt service obligations (serviceability) affects the probability of default of the loan. The Method considers the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-11-24 Graham Andersen , David Chisholm

In this paper we develop structural first passage models (AT1P and SBTV) with time-varying volatility and characterized by high tractability, moving from the original work of Brigo and Tarenghi (2004, 2005) [19] [20] and Brigo and Morini…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-12-23 Damiano Brigo , Massimo Morini , Marco Tarenghi

We derive an arbitrage free relationship between recovery swap rates, digital default swap spreads and conventional CDS spreads, and argue that the fair forward recovery rate used in recovery swaps must contain a convexity premium over the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-01-07 Arthur M. Berd

We set up a structural model to study credit risk for a portfolio containing several or many credit contracts. The model is based on a jump--diffusion process for the risk factors, i.e. for the company assets. We also include correlations…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Rudi Schäfer , Markus Sjölin , Andreas Sundin , Michal Wolanski , Thomas Guhr

Credit Valuation Adjustment captures the difference in the value of derivative contracts when the counterparty default probability is taken into account. However, in the context of a network of contracts, the default probability of a direct…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-05-29 Irena Barjašić , Stefano Battiston , Vinko Zlatić

This article proposes a method for measuring the latent risks involved in the recovery process of non performing loans in financial institutions and business firms that deal with collection and recovery processes. To that end, we apply the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

In this paper, we deal with an axiomatic approach to default risk. We introduce the notion of a default risk measure, which generalizes the classical probability of default (PD), and allows to incorporate model risk in various forms. We…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-21 Max Nendel , Jan Streicher

The classical reduced-form and filtration expansion framework in credit risk is extended to the case of multiple, non-ordered defaults, assuming that conditional densities of the default times exist. Intensities and pricing formulas are…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-06-22 Younes Kchia , Martin Larsson