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We study first order necessary conditions for an optimal control problem of a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model with limitations on the duration of the quarantine. The control is done by means of the reproduction number, i.e., the…

We consider a behavioral-feedback SIR epidemic model, in which the infection rate depends in feedback on the fractions of susceptible and infected agents, respectively. The considered model allows one to account for endogenous adaptation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-11 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise

In the framework of homogeneous susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) models, we use a control theory approach to identify optimal pandemic mitigation strategies. We derive rather general conditions for reaching herd immunity while…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-07-05 Prakhar Godara , Stephan Herminghaus , Knut M. Heidemann

Until a vaccine or therapy is found against the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus, reaching herd immunity appears to be the only mid-term option. However, if the number of infected individuals decreases and eventually fades only beyond this threshold,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-06-11 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Michel Duprez , Yannick Privat , Nicolas Vauchelet

Understanding the dynamics of an epidemic spread is crucial for effective control measures. During the COVID-19 pandemic, quarantines were implemented to minimize infections while mitigating social and economic impacts, raising the question…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-11-19 Eyal Atias , Michael Assaf

We investigate the time-optimal control problem in SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) epidemic models, focusing on different control policies: vaccination, isolation, culling, and reduction of transmission. Applying the Pontryagin's…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-06-15 Luca Bolzoni , Elena Bonacini , Cinzia Soresina , Maria Groppi

We consider the problem of controlling an SIR-model epidemic by temporarily reducing the rate of contact within a population. The control takes the form of a multiplicative reduction in the contact rate of infectious individuals. The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-29 David I. Ketcheson

The recent COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the need of non-pharmaceutical interventions in the first stages of a pandemic. Among these, lockdown policies proved unavoidable yet extremely costly from an economic perspective. To better…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-14 Leonardo Cianfanelli , Francesca Parise , Daron Acemoglu , Giacomo Como , Asuman Ozdaglar

In this paper, an SIR epidemic model with variable size of population is considered. We study optimal control problem for an SIR model with "vaccination" and "treatment" as controls. It is shown that an optimal control exists. We have…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-12-28 Olga Klimenkova

We study the impact of parameter estimation and state measurement errors on a control framework for optimally mitigating the spread of epidemics. We capture the epidemic spreading process using a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-08 Baike She , Lei Xin , Shreyas Sundaram , Philip E. Paré

We consider here an extended SIR model, including several features of the recent COVID-19 outbreak: in particular the infected and recovered individuals can either be detected (+) or undetected (-) and we also integrate an intensive care…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-25 Arthur Charpentier , Romuald Elie , Mathieu Laurière , Viet Chi Tran

This paper studies an optimal control problem for a class of SIR epidemic models, in scenarios in which the infected population is constrained to be lower than a critical threshold imposed by the ICU (intensive care unit) capacity. The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-31 Matteo Della Rossa , Lorenzo Freddi , Dan Goreac

This paper investigates a behavioral-feedback SIR model in which the infection rate adapts dynamically based on the fractions of susceptible and infected individuals. We introduce an invariant of motion and we characterize the peak of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-09-17 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise

We give the explicit solution of the optimal control problem which consists in minimizing the epidemic peak in the SIR model when the control is an attenuation factor of the infectious rate, subject to a L 1 budget constraint. The optimal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-14 Emilio Molina , Alain Rapaport

We consider the problem of the optimal allocation of vaccination and protection measures for the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Infected (SIRI) epidemiological model, which generalizes the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-09 Urmee Maitra , Ashish R. Hota , Rohit Gupta , Alfred O. Hero

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIRS epidemiology model. The policy maker can adopt policies to diminish the contact rate between infected and susceptible individuals, at a specific economic cost. The arrival of a vaccine…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-09 Evangelos Magirou

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIR epidemiology model that includes a partially specified vaccination policy and takes into account fatigue from protracted application of social distancing measures. The model assumes…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-08-17 Evangelos F. Magirou

We propose a versatile model with a flexible choice of control for an early-pandemic outbreak prevention when vaccine/drug is not yet available. At that stage, control is often limited to non-medical interventions like social distancing and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-06-14 Alexandra Smirnova , Xiaojing Ye

In this paper we introduce an approach to the management of infectious disease diffusion through the formulation of a controlled compartmental SVIR (Susceptible-Vaccinated-Infected-Recovered) model. We consider a cost functional…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-11-28 Alessandro Ramponiand M. Elisabetta Tessitore

This article considers the optimal control of the SIR model with both transmission and treatment uncertainty. It follows the model presented in Gatto and Schellhorn (2021). We make four significant improvements on the latter paper. First,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-20 Yujia Ding , Henry Schellhorn
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