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We consider Markovian susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) dynamics on time-invariant weighted contact networks where the infection and removal processes are Poisson and where network links may be directed or undirected. We prove that a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-12-19 Kieran J. Sharkey , Istvan Z. Kiss , Robert R. Wilkinson , Peter L. Simon

Waiting times between two consecutive infection and recovery events in spreading processes are often assumed to be exponentially distributed, which results in Markovian (i.e., memoryless) continuous spreading dynamics. However, this is not…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-27 Lucas Böttcher , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

We present the generalised mean-field and pairwise models for non-Markovian epidemics on networks with arbitrary recovery time distributions. First we consider a hyperbolic system, where the population of infective nodes and links are…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-05-11 G. Röst , Z. Vizi , I. Z. Kiss

In this paper, we develop a node-based approximate model for Markovian contagion dynamics on networks. We prove that our approximate model is exact for SIR (susceptible-infectious-recovered) and SEIR…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-08-17 Cameron L. Hall , Bram A. Siebert

We present a modelling framework for the spreading of epidemics on temporal networks from which both the individual-based and pair-based models can be recovered. The proposed temporal pair-based model that is systematically derived from…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-17 Rory Humphries , Kieran Mulchrone , Jamie Tratalos , Simon More , Philipp Hövel

This paper presents a novel extension of the edge-based compartmental model for epidemics with arbitrary distributions of transmission and recovery times. Using the message passing approach we also derive a new pairwise-like model for…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-11-15 N. Sherborne , J. C. Miller , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

Self-adaptive dynamics occurs in many physical systems such as socio-economics, neuroscience, or biophysics. We formalize a self-adaptive modeling approach, where adaptation takes place within a set of strategies based on the history of the…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2022-04-01 Konstantin Clauß , Christian Kuehn

This paper introduces a theoretical framework for the analysis and control of the stochastic susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) spreading process over a network of heterogeneous agents. In our analysis, we analyze the exact networked Markov…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

We explore a rigorous formulation of agent-based SIR epidemic dynamics as a discrete-state Markov process, capturing the stochastic propagation of infection or an invading agent on networks. Using indicator functions and corresponding…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-01-14 A. Y. Klimenko , A. Rozycki , Y. Lu

In the light of several major epidemic events that emerged in the past two decades, and emphasized by the COVID-19 pandemics, the non-Markovian spreading models occurring on complex networks gained significant attention from the scientific…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-11-30 Igor Tomovski , Lasko Basnarkov , Alajdin Abazi

Most real networks are characterized by connectivity patterns that evolve in time following complex, non-Markovian, dynamics. Here we investigate the impact of this ubiquitous feature by studying the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-01-20 Kaiyuan Sun , Andrea Baronchelli , Nicola Perra

Infections diseases are marked by recovering time distributions which can be far from the exponential one associated with Markovian/Poisson processes, broadly applied in epidemic compartmental models. In the present work, we tackled this…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-10-03 José Carlos M. Silva , Diogo H. Silva , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Silvio C. Ferreira

In this paper, we analyze the dynamics of spreading processes taking place over time-varying networks. A common approach to model time-varying networks is via Markovian random graph processes. This modeling approach presents the following…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-11-04 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

We investigate the SIR epidemic on a dynamic inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, in which vertices are of one of $k$ types and in which edges appear and disappear independently of each other. We establish a functional law of large…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-22 Yuanfei Huang , Adrian Röllin

We study an individual-based stochastic SIR epidemic model with infection-age dependent infectivity on a large random graph, capturing individual heterogeneity and non-homogeneous connectivity. Each individual is associated with particular…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-11 Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux , Aurélien Velleret

Cator and Van Mieghem [Cator E, Van Mieghem P., Phys. Rev. E 89, 052802 (2014)] stated that the correlation of infection at the same time between any pair of nodes in a network is non-negative for the Markovian SIS and SIR epidemic models.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-08-15 Pablo M. Rodriguez , Alejandro Roldán-Correa , Leon Alexander Valencia

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

A general formalism is introduced to allow the steady state of non-Markovian processes on networks to be reduced to equivalent Markovian processes on the same substrates. The example of an epidemic spreading process is considered in detail,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-03-29 Michele Starnini , James P. Gleeson , Marián Boguñá

We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-10-03 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Hyoung Jun Ahn , Babak Hassibi
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