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Many insurance premium principles are defined and various estimation procedures introduced in the literature. In this paper, we focus on the estimation of the excess-of-loss reinsurance premium when the risks are randomly right-censored.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-30 Louiza Soltane , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

We prove residual-type a posteriori error estimates in the maximum norm for a linear scalar elliptic convection-diffusion problem that may be singularly perturbed. Similar error analysis in the energy norm by Verf\"{u}rth indicates that a…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-01-05 Alan Demlow , Sebastian Franz , Natalia Kopteva

A fundamental challenge in machine learning is the choice of a loss as it characterizes our learning task, is minimized in the training phase, and serves as an evaluation criterion for estimators. Proper losses are commonly chosen, ensuring…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Han Bao , Asuka Takatsu

We found that a reliability model commonly used to estimate Mean-Time-To-Data-Loss (MTTDL), while suitable for modeling RAID 0 and RAID 5, fails to accurately model systems having a fault-tolerance greater than 1. Therefore, to model the…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2013-10-18 Jason Resch , Ilya Volvovski

The gambler's ruin problem for correlated random walks (CRW), both with and without delays, is addressed using the Optional Stopping Theorem for martingales. We derive closed-form expressions for the ruin probabilities and the expected game…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-03 Vladimir Pozdnyakov

We study the unit-demand capacitated vehicle routing problem in the random setting of the Euclidean plane. The objective is to visit $n$ random terminals in a square using a set of tours of minimum total length, such that each tour visits…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-04-25 Zipei Nie , Hang Zhou

This paper considers a newly delayed reinsurance and investment optimization problem incorporating random risk aversion, in which an insurer pursues maximization of the expected certainty equivalent of her/his terminal wealth and the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-23 Jian-hao Kang , Zhun Gou , Nan-jing Huang

This article deals with error estimates for the finite element approximation of variational normal derivatives and, as a consequence, error estimates for the finite element approximation of Dirichlet boundary control problems with energy…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-08-06 Max Winkler

This paper concerns sequential computation of risk measures for financial data and asks how, given a risk measurement procedure, we can tell whether the answers it produces are `correct'. We draw the distinction between `external' and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-11-20 Mark H. A. Davis

In this chapter we propose an extended concept of the expected discounted penalty function (EDPF) that takes into account new ruin-related random variables. We add to the EDPF, which was introduced in classical papers [Gerber and Shiu…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-21 Zied Ben Salah

Second order buckling theory involves a one-way coupled coupled problem where the stress tensor from a plane stress problem appears in an eigenvalue problem for the fourth order Kirchhoff plate. In this paper we present an a posteriori…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-02-03 Peter Hansbo , Mats G. Larson

A method for analysing the risk of taking a too low reserve level by use of Chain Ladder method is developed. We give an answer to the question of how much safety loading in terms of the Chain Ladder standard error has to be added to the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-09-23 Magda Schiegl

This paper extends the classical dividend problem by incorporating a novel, path-dependent mechanism of firm default. In the traditional framework, ruin occurs when the surplus process first reaches zero. In contrast, default in our model…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-30 Andi Bodnariu , Nils Engler , Neofytos Rodosthenous

We propose a randomized a posteriori error estimator for reduced order approximations of parametrized (partial) differential equations. The error estimator has several important properties: the effectivity is close to unity with prescribed…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-04-02 Kathrin Smetana , Olivier Zahm , Anthony T Patera

Currently, legal requirements demand that insurance companies increase their emphasis on monitoring the risks linked to the underwriting and asset management activities. Regarding underwriting risks, the main uncertainties that insurers…

In this paper we consider some generalizations of the classical d-dimensional Brownian risk model. This contribution derives some non-asymptotic bounds for simultaneous ruin probabilities of interest. In addition, we obtain non-asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-17 Nikolai Kriukov

This paper investigates risk measures derived from the expected maximum deficit in a continuous-time framework and develops optimal reserve allocation strategies across multiple lines of business. We formalize the expected maximum deficit…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-05-19 Claude Lefevre , Pierre Zuyderhoff

In this paper, we study the ruin problem with investment in a general framework where the business part X is a L{\'e}vy process and the return on investment R is a semimartingale. We obtain upper bounds on the finite and infinite time ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-02 Lioudmila Vostrikova , Jérôme Spielmann

This paper is concerned with forecast error, particularly in relation to loss reserving. This is generally regarded as consisting of three components, namely parameter, process and model errors. The first two of these components, and their…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-04 G Taylor , G McGuire

In this paper we determine bounds and exact asymptotics of the ruin probability for risk process with arrivals given by a linear marked Hawkes process. We consider the light-tailed and heavy-tailed case of the claim sizes. Main technique is…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-07 Zbigniew Palmowski , Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser