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相关论文: A note on ruin problems in perturbed classical ris…

200 篇论文

We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in random environment. Following recent interest in alternative ruin concepts, we assume that ruin occurs when an independent Poissonian observer sees…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-14 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We investigate models of the life annuity insurance when the company invests its reserve into a risky asset with price following a geometric Brownian motion. Our main result is an exact asymptotic of the ruin probabilities for the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-19 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

We study a general perturbed risk process with cumulative claims modelled by a subordinator with finite expectation, with the perturbation being a spectrally negative Levy process with zero expectation. We derive a Pollaczek-Hinchin type…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-07 Miljenko Huzak , Mihael Perman , Hrvoje Sikic , Zoran Vondracek

This paper defines a new class of fractional differential operators alongside a family of random variables whose density functions solve fractional differential equations equipped with these operators. These equations can be further used to…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-28 Corina D. Constantinescu , Jorge M. Ramirez , Wei R. Zhu

One possible way of risk management for an insurance company is to develop an early and appropriate alarm system before the possible ruin. The ruin is defined through the status of the aggregate risk process, which in turn is determined by…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-06-30 Shubhabrata Das , Marie Kratz

We consider a surplus process of drifted fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst index $H>1/2$, which appears as a functional limit of drifted compound Poisson risk models with correlated claims, and this is a kind of representation of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-22 Shota Nakamura , Yasutaka Shimizu

In this paper, we study a dual risk model with delays in the spirit of Dassios-Zhao. When a new innovation occurs, there is a delay before the innovation turns into a profit. We obtain large initial surplus asymptotics for the ruin…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-01-18 Lingjiong Zhu

We analyze the probability of ruin for the {\it scaled} classical Cram\'er-Lundberg (CL) risk process and the corresponding diffusion approximation. The scaling, introduced by Iglehart \cite{I1969} to the actuarial literature, amounts to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-06-18 Asaf Cohen , Virginia R. Young

In this paper we analyze so-called Parisian ruin probability that happens when surplus process stays below zero longer than fixed amount of time $\zeta>0$. We focus on general spectrally negative L\'{e}vy insurance risk process. For this…

概率论 · 数学 2010-04-21 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski

The classical Cram\'er-Lundberg risk process models the ruin probability of an insurance company experiencing an incoming cash flow - the premium income, and an outgoing cash flow - the claims. From a system's viewpoint, the web of…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-13 Rukuang Huang

The paper deals with the ruin problem of an insurance company investing its capital reserve in a risky asset with the price dynamics given by a conditional geometric Brownian motion whose parameters depend on a Markov process describing a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-21 Viktor Antipov , Yuri Kabanov

In this paper, we propose the discrete time Compound Beta-Binomial Risk Model with by-claims, delayed by-claims and randomized dividends. We then analyze the Gerber-Shiu function for the cases where the dividend threshold $d=0$ and $d>0$…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-12 Aparna B. S , Neelesh S Upadhye

We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Ross A. Maller

This article studies in detail the solution of an integral equation due to Rongming et al. [13]. The methods involve complex analysis. As an application, we find the ruin probability of a given Bonus-Malus system in a steady state. We…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-23 Dan Kucerovsky , Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi

In this paper we determine bounds and exact asymptotics of the ruin probability for risk process with arrivals given by a linear marked Hawkes process. We consider the light-tailed and heavy-tailed case of the claim sizes. Main technique is…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-07 Zbigniew Palmowski , Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

We show that the moment explosion time in the rough Heston model [El Euch, Rosenbaum 2016, arxiv:1609.02108] is finite if and only if it is finite for the classical Heston model. Upper and lower bounds for the explosion time are…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-04-05 Stefan Gerhold , Christoph Gerstenecker , Arpad Pinter

Modeling insurance claim amounts and classifying claims into different risk levels are critical yet challenging tasks. Traditional predictive models for insurance claims often overlook the valuable information embedded in claim…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Yanxi Hou , Xiaolan Xia , Guangyuan Gao

The Cram\'er-Lundberg model with exponential claims and proportional investment is solved exactly: the integro-differential equation for the survival probability reduces to a doubly confluent Heun equation, yielding an explicit solution in…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-13 Platon Promyslov , Maxim Romanov , Goluba Yurieva

This note is an addendum to the work initiated by Eberlein, Kabanov, and Schmidt and developed further by Kabanov and Promyslov on the asymptotics of the ruin probabilities in the Sparre Andersen model with investments in a risky asset.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-08 Yuri Kabanov , Danil Legenkiy , Platon Promyslov

The gambler's ruin problem for correlated random walks (CRW), both with and without delays, is addressed using the Optional Stopping Theorem for martingales. We derive closed-form expressions for the ruin probabilities and the expected game…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-03 Vladimir Pozdnyakov