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相关论文: Ruin Probabilities for Risk Processes with Non-Sta…

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In this paper we determine bounds and exact asymptotics of the ruin probability for risk process with arrivals given by a linear marked Hawkes process. We consider the light-tailed and heavy-tailed case of the claim sizes. Main technique is…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-07 Zbigniew Palmowski , Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

We consider a classical risk process with arrival of claims following a non-stationary Hawkes process. We study the asymptotic regime when the premium rate and the baseline intensity of the claims arrival process are large, and claim size…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2019-08-22 Zailei Cheng , Youngsoo Seol

For two nonstandard renewal risk models, we investigate the precise large deviations of the finite-time ruin probability and a random sum of the net-loss process, and the asymptotics of the random-time ruin probability. Notably, in one of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-11 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

Using the results of precise large deviation and renewal theory for widely dependent random variables, this paper obtains the asymptotic estimation of the random-time ruin probability and the uniform asymptotic estimation of finite-time…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

In a discrete-time setting, we consider an arrival process $\left\{\xi_n \, \middle| \, n = 1, 2, \ldots \right\}$, which models the occurrence of events, and a corresponding point process $\left\{H_n \, \middle| \, n = 1, 2, \ldots…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Utpal Jyoti Deba Sarma , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of the entrance probability of discounted aggregate claims of a certain family of rare sets is studied, considering the finite and infinite time horizons. This multivariate risk model, driven by a…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-11 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis , Hui Xu

We study the asymptotic behavior of ruin probabilities, as the initial reserve goes to infinity, for a reserve process model where claims arrive according to a renewal process, while between the claim times the process has the dynamics of…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-24 Ying He , Konstantin Borovkov

We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival time distributions depending on the claims that arrived within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-22 Corina Constantinescu , Suhang Dai , Weihong Ni , Zbigniew Palmowski

In this paper a quantitative analysis of the ruin probability in finite time of discrete risk process with proportional reinsurance and investment of finance surplus is focused on. It is assumed that the total loss on a unit interval has a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-12-14 Helena Jasiulewicz , Wojciech Kordecki

This article studies asymptotic approximations of ruin probabilities of multivariate random walks with heavy-tailed increments. Under our assumptions, the distributions of the increments are closely connected to multivariate…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-12 Miriam Hägele

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

Consider two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions. We model the occurrence of claims according to a renewal process. One ruin problem…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-16 Florin Avram , Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn R. Pistorius

In this paper we study the asymptotic decay of finite time ruin probabilities for an insurance company that faces heavy-tailed claims, uses predictable investment strategies and makes investments in risky assets whose prices evolve…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog

We develop sharp large deviation asymptotics for the probability of ruin in a Markov-dependent stochastic economic environment and study the extremes for some related Markovian processes which arise in financial and insurance mathematics,…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-01 Jeffrey F. Collamore

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company combines the life- and non-life insurance businesses and invests its reserve into a risky asset with stochastic volatility and drift driven by a two-state Markov process.…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-10 Anastasiya Ellanskaya , Yuri Kabanov

We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

In this paper, the robust stability and convergence to the true state of moving horizon estimator based on an adaptive arrival cost are established for nonlinear detectable systems. Robust global asymptotic stability is shown for the case…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-23 Nestor N. Deniz , Marina H. Murillo , Guido Sanchez , Lucas M. Genzelis , Leonardo Giovanini

In this paper we propose a framework that enables the study of large deviations for point processes based on stationary sequences with regularly varying tails. This framework allows us to keep track not of the magnitude of the extreme…

概率论 · 数学 2009-08-21 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In this paper a class of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes is considered. The jumps arrive with exponential waiting times and are allowed to be two-sided. The jumps are assumed to form an iid sequence with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-01 Anders Rønn-Nielsen
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