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We study risk processes with level dependent premium rate. Assuming that the premium rate converges, as the risk reserve increases, to the critical value in the net-profit condition, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-07 Denis Denisov , Niklas Gotthardt , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

Consider two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that receive premiums at different rates and then split the amount they pay in fixed proportions for each claim (for simplicity we assume that they are equal). We model…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2011-02-14 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski

Let $X(t)=(X_1(t), \dots, X_n(t)), t\in \mathcal{T}\subset \mathbb{R} $ be a centered vector-valued Gaussian process with independent components and continuous trajectories, and $h(t)=(h_1(t),\dots, h_n(t)), t\in \mathcal{T} $ be a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-09 Long Bai , Krzysztof Debicki , Peng Liu

In this paper, we investigate the ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous risk models. By employing martingale method, the Lundberg-type inequalities of ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous renewal risk models are obtained under weak…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-05 Qianqian Zhou , Alexander Sakhanenko , Junyi Guo

Define a $\gamma$-reflected process $W_\gamma(t)=Y_H(t)-\gamma\inf_{s\in[0,t]}Y_H(s)$, $t\ge0$ with input process $\{Y_H(t), t\ge 0\}$ which is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in (0,1)$ and a negative linear trend. In risk…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-12 Peng Liu , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

In this paper we define a class of coverage processes with infinitely divisible finite dimensional distributions and a particular type of correlation structure that can be thought of as generalizations of the classical Ornstein--Uhlenbeck…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-17 George Makatis , Michael A. Zazanis

We consider a Brownian particle performing an overdamped motion in a power-law repulsive potential. If the potential grows with the distance faster than quadratically, the particle escapes to infinity in a finite time. We determine the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-09-03 P. L. Krapivsky , Baruch Meerson

Let $\mathbf{B}(t)=(B_1(t), B_2(t))$, $t\geq 0$ be a two-dimensional Brownian motion with independent components and define the $\mathbf{\gamma}$-reflected process…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-24 Timofei Shashkov

We analyze the probability of ruin for the {\it scaled} classical Cram\'er-Lundberg (CL) risk process and the corresponding diffusion approximation. The scaling, introduced by Iglehart \cite{I1969} to the actuarial literature, amounts to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-06-18 Asaf Cohen , Virginia R. Young

Due to its practical use, De Vylder's approximation of the ruin probability has been one of the most popular approximations in ruin theory and its application to insurance. Surprisingly, only heuristic and numerical evidence has supported…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-04 Azmi Makhlouf

In this paper we consider the classical and Erlang(2) risk processes when the inter-claim times and claim amounts are dependent. We assume that the dependence structure is defined through a Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula and show…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-31 Marjan Qazvini

We consider a two-dimensional ruin problem where the surplus process of business lines is modelled by a two-dimensional correlated Brownian motion with drift. We study the ruin function $P(u)$ for the component-wise ruin (that is both…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

We study a new technique for the asymptotic analysis of heavy-tailed systems conditioned on large deviations events. We illustrate our approach in the context of ruin events of multidimensional regularly varying random walks. Our approach…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-10 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu

Let $S_n$ be partial sums of an i.i.d. sequence $\{X_i\}$. We assume that $\mathbb{E} X_1 <0$ and $\mathbb{P}[X_1>0]>0$. In this paper we study the first passage time $$ \tau_u = \inf\{n:\; S_n > u\}. $$ The classical Cram\'er's estimate of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-09 Dariusz Buraczewski , Mariusz Maślanka

The paper investigates a discrete time Binomial risk model with different types of polices and shock events may influence some of the claim sizes. It is shown that this model can be considered as a particular case of the classical compound…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-12 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Evelina Veleva

We consider a branching random walk in a random space-time environment of disasters where each particle is killed when meeting a disaster. This extends the model of the "random walk in a disastrous random environment" introduced by [15]. We…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-13 Nina Gantert , Stefan Junk

Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

This paper considers general term structure models like the ones appearing in portfolio credit risk modelling or life insurance. We give a general model starting from families of forward rates driven by infinitely many Brownian motions and…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-06-27 Stefan Tappe , Thorsten Schmidt

We consider a classical risk process with arrival of claims following a non-stationary Hawkes process. We study the asymptotic regime when the premium rate and the baseline intensity of the claims arrival process are large, and claim size…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2019-08-22 Zailei Cheng , Youngsoo Seol

We introduce the concept of cumulative Parisian ruin, which is based on the time spent in the red by the underlying surplus process. Our main result is an explicit representation for the distribution of the occupation time, over a…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-24 Hélène Guérin , Jean-François Renaud