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Imitative and contrarian behaviors are the two typical opposite attitudes of investors in stock markets. We introduce a simple model to investigate their interplay in a stock market where agents can take only two states, bullish or bearish.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 A. Corcos , J. -P. Eckmann , A. Malaspinas , Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

An agent-based model for firms' dynamics is developed. The model consists of firm agents with identical characteristic parameters and a bank agent. Dynamics of those agents is described by their balance sheets. Each firm tries to maximize…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2009-01-14 Hiroshi Iyetomi , Hideaki Aoyama , Yoshi Fujiwara , Yuichi Ikeda , Wataru Souma

In this paper, we study the herding phenomena in financial markets arising from the combined effect of (1) non-coordinated collective interactions between the market players and (2) concurrent reactions of market players to dynamic market…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-05 Hyeong-Ohk Bae , Seung-yeon Cho , Sang-hyeok Lee , Seok-Bae Yun

In this paper we study the price dynamics in a simple model of financial markets with heterogeneous agents. We concentrate on how increases in the total number of active traders influences fluctuations of asset prices. We find that a…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Taisei Kaizoji

We present a detailed study of the statistical properties of an Agent Based Model and of its generalization to the multiplicative dynamics. The aim of the model is to consider the minimal elements for the understanding of the origin of the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 V. Alfi , M. Cristelli , L. Pietronero , A. Zaccaria

We study an interacting agent model of a game-theoretical economy. The agents play a minority-subsequently-majority game and they learn, using backpropagation networks, to obtain higher payoffs. We study the relevance of heterogeneity to…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Wan Ahmad Tajuddin Wan Abdullah

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

This paper uses the development of multi-agent market models to present a unified approach to the joint questions of how financial market movements may be simulated, predicted, and hedged against. We examine the effect of different market…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 P. Jefferies , M. L. Hart , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson

We propose a Markov jump process with the three-state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2013-02-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

An existing model of opinion dynamics on an adaptive social network is extended to introduce update policy heterogeneity, representing the fact that individual differences between social animals can affect their tendency to form, and be…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-05-18 Seth Bullock , Hiroki Sayama

We investigate the full dynamics of capital allocation and wealth distribution of heterogeneous agents in a frictional economy during booms and busts using tools from mean-field games. Two groups in our models, namely the expert and the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-18 Hoang Vu , Tomoyuki Ichiba

We describe a new model to simulate the dynamic interactions between market price and the decisions of two different kind of traders. They possess spatial mobility allowing to group together to form coalitions. Each coalition follows a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Filippo Castiglione

As automated trading gains traction in the financial market, algorithmic investment strategies are increasingly prominent. While Large Language Models (LLMs) and Agent-based models exhibit promising potential in real-time market analysis…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2025-02-20 Xiangyu Li , Yawen Zeng , Xiaofen Xing , Jin Xu , Xiangmin Xu

We employ an agent-based model for cultural dynamics to investigate the effects of spatial heterogeneities on the collective behavior of a social system. We introduce heterogeneity as a random distribution of defects or imperfections in a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-03 M. G. Cosenza , O. Alvarez-Llamoza , C. Echeverría , K. Tucci

The mixed Hegselmann-Krause (HK) model consists of a finite number of agents characterized by their opinion, a vector in $\mathbf{R^d}$. For the deterministic case, each agent updates its opinion by the rule: decide its degree of…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-01-31 Hsin-Lun Li

Recent works have increasingly applied Large Language Models (LLMs) as agents in financial stock market simulations to test if micro-level behaviors aggregate into macro-level phenomena. However, a crucial question arises: Do LLM agents'…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-03-25 Zeping Li , Guancheng Wan , Keyang Chen , Yu Chen , Yiwen Zhao , Philip Torr , Guangnan Ye , Zhenfei Yin , Hongfeng Chai

Using high frequency data, we have studied empirically the change of volatility, also called volatility derivative, for various time horizons. In particular, the correlation between the volatility derivative and the volatility realized in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Gilles Zumbach , Paul Lynch

Researchers often have to deal with heterogeneous population with mixed regression relationships, increasingly so in the era of data explosion. In such problems, when there are many candidate predictors, it is not only of interest to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-05 Yan Li , Chun Yu , Yize Zhao , Robert H. Aseltine , Weixin Yao , Kun Chen

We examine hypothesis testing within a principal-agent framework, where a strategic agent, holding private beliefs about the effectiveness of a product, submits data to a principal who decides on approval. The principal employs a hypothesis…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-06 Safwan Hossain , Yatong Chen , Yiling Chen

Kinetic exchange models have been successful in explaining the shape of the income/wealth distribution in the economies. However, such models usually make some ad-hoc assumptions when it comes to determining the savings factor. Here, we…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2010-06-28 Anindya S. Chakrabarti