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This article proposes a fundamental methodological shift in the modelling of policy interventions for sustainability transitions in order to account for complexity (e.g. self-reinforcing mechanism arising from multi-agent interactions) and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-03-23 J. -F. Mercure , H. Pollitt , A. M. Bassi , J. E Viñuales , N. R. Edwards

In this short paper, we define the investment ability of data investors in the data economy and its heterogeneity. We further construct an analytical heterogeneous agent model to demonstrate that differences in data investment ability lead…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-12 Yongheng Hu

Herding, where investors imitate others' decisions rather than relying on their own analysis, is a prevalent phenomenon in financial markets. Excessive herding distorts rational decisions, amplifies volatility, and can be exploited by…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-14 Huisheng Wang , H. Vicky Zhao

We describe a simple model for speculative trading based on adaptive behavior of economic agents.The adaptive behavior is expressed through a feedback mechanism for changing agents' stock-to-bond ratios, depending on the past performance of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-09-26 Misha Perepelitsa

The Hegselmann-Krause (HK) model allows one to characterize the continuous change of agents' opinions with the bounded confidence threshold $\varepsilon$. To consider the heterogeneity of agents in characteristics, we study the HK model on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-05 Yueying Zhu , Jian Jiang , Wei Li

We discuss a method for predicting financial movements and finding pockets of predictability in the price-series, which is built around inferring the heterogeneity of trading strategies in a multi-agent trader population. This work explores…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2015-05-13 Nachi Gupta , Raphael Hauser , Neil F. Johnson

We present an agent based model of a single asset financial market that is capable of replicating several non-trivial statistical properties observed in real financial markets, generically referred to as stylized facts. While previous…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2017-04-12 Roberto Mota Navarro , Hernán Larralde Ridaura

An agent-based modelling methodology for the joint price evolution of two stocks is put forward. The method models future multidimensional price trajectories reflecting how a class of agents rebalance their portfolios in an operational way…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-25 Dario Crisci , Sebastian E. Ferrando , Konrad Gajewski

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

A growing part of the behavioral finance literature has addressed some of the stylized facts of financial time series as macroscopic patterns emerging from herding interactions among groups of agents with heterogeneous trading strategies…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-09-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

We present an extensive study of the joint effects of heterogeneous social agents and their heterogeneous social links in a bounded confidence opinion dynamics model. The full phase diagram of the model is explored for two different…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-24 Rémi Perrier , Hendrik Schawe , Laura Hernández

A dynamic herding model with interactions of trading volumes is introduced. At time $t$, an agent trades with a probability, which depends on the ratio of the total trading volume at time $t-1$ to its own trading volume at its last trade.…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2009-11-03 F. Ren , B. Zheng , P. Chen

We derive a system of stochastic differential equations simulating the dynamics of the three agent groups with herding interaction. Proposed approach can be valuable in the modeling of the complex socio-economic systems with similar…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-17 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

In market modeling, one often treats buyers as a homogeneous group. In this paper we consider buyers with heterogeneous preferences and products available in many variants. Such a framework allows us to successfully model various market…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2009-01-06 Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

The steady-state and nonequilibrium properties of the model of environmental-economic interactions are studied. The interacting heterogeneous agents are simulated on the platform of the emission dynamics of cellular automaton. The model…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Z. Kuscsik , D. Horvath , M. Gmitra

Building on a prominent agent-based model, we present a new structural stochastic volatility asset pricing model of fundamentalists vs. chartists where the prices are determined based on excess demand. Specifically, this allows for…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-05-02 Radu T. Pruna , Maria Polukarov , Nicholas R. Jennings

Agents' heterogeneity is recognized as a driver mechanism for the persistence of financial volatility. We focus on the multiplicity of investment strategies' horizons, we embed this concept in a continuous time stochastic volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-04-04 Danilo Delpini , Giacomo Bormetti

We present examples of agent-based and stochastic models of competition and business processes in economics and finance. We start from as simple as possible models, which have microscopic, agent-based, versions and macroscopic treatment in…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2012-07-31 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis , Valentas Daniunas

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

In the present paper a model of a market consisting of real and financial interacting sectors is studied. Agents populating the stock market are assumed to be not able to observe the true underlying fundamental, and their beliefs are biased…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-13 Fausto Cavalli , Ahmad Naimzada , Nicolò Pecora , Marina Pireddu