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The first-passage time (FPT) is a fundamental concept in stochastic processes, representing the time it takes for a process to reach a specified threshold for the first time. Often, considering a time-dependent threshold is essential for…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-23 Devika Khurana , Sascha Desmettre , Evelyn Buckwar

Continuous-time stochastic processes play an important role in the description of random phenomena, it is therefore of prime interest to study particular variables depending on their paths, like stopping time for example. One approach…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-09 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

Many transport processes in ecology, physics and biochemistry can be described by the average time to first find a site or exit a region, starting from an initial position. Typical mathematical treatments are based on formulations that…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-01-16 Thomas Hillen , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Jacob C. Mantooth , Alan E. Lindsay

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

The first passage time (FPT) for random walks is a key indicator of how fast information diffuses in a given system. Despite the role of FPT as a fundamental feature in transport phenomena, its behavior, particularly in heterogeneous…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-05 S. Hwang , D. -S. Lee , B. Kahng

We derive an approximate but fully explicit formula for the mean first-passage time (MFPT) to a small absorbing target of arbitrary shape in a general elongated domain in the plane. Our approximation combines conformal mapping, boundary…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-10-14 Denis S. Grebenkov , Alexei T. Skvortsov

We extend the random walk framework to include compounded steps, providing first-passage time (FPT) properties for a new class of superdiffusive processes, which are governed by the space-fractional spectral Fokker-Planck equation. This…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-04-14 Christopher N. Angstmann , Daniel S. Han , Bruce I. Henry , Boris Z. Huang

First passage time (FPT) theory is often used to estimate timescales in cellular and molecular biology. While the overwhelming majority of studies have focused on the time it takes a given single Brownian searcher to reach a target,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-03-13 Sean D. Lawley , Jacob B. Madrid

The aim of this paper is to investigate how the correlation properties of a stationary Markovian stochastic processes affect the First Passage Time distribution. First Passage Time issues are a classical topic in stochastic processes…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-03-31 S. Micciché

We study the statistics of first passage times (FPTs) of trajectory observables in both classical and quantum Markov processes. We consider specifically the FPTs of counting observables, that is, the times to reach a certain threshold of a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-05-17 George Bakewell-Smith , Federico Girotti , Mădălin Guţă , Juan P. Garrahan

This paper stidies the first passage times to constant boundaries for mixed-exponential jump diffusion processes. Explicit solutions of the Laplace transforms of the distribution of the first passage times, the joint distribution of the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2014-06-18 Chuancun Yin , Yuzhen Wen , Zhaojun Zong , Ying Shen

In this paper, we develop a Monte Carlo based algorithm for estimating the FPT density of a time-homogeneous SDE through a time-dependent frontier. We consider Brownian bridges as well as localized Daniels curve approximations to obtain…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-02 Imene Allab , Francois Watier

This article describes a new Monte Carlo method for the evaluation of the orthant probabilities by sampling first passage times of a non-singular Gaussian discrete time-series across an absorbing boundary. This procedure makes use of a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-01-27 E. Di Nardo

The first-passage time is a key concept in stochastic modeling, representing the time at which a process first reaches a specified threshold. In this work, we consider a jump-diffusion (JD) model with a time-dependent threshold, providing a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-11-04 Sascha Desmettre , Devika Khurana , Amira Meddah

We derive the asymptotic first passage time (FPT) distribution for space-dependent variable-order time-fractional diffusion, where the fractional exponent $\alpha(x)$ varies with position. For any sufficiently smooth $\alpha(x)$ on a finite…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-04-16 Wancheng Li , Daniel S. Han

The first passage time problem is considered for stochastic logistic growth model with constant harvesting and multiplicative environmental noise. Explicit expressions for the moments and cumulants of both upcrossing and downcrossing FPTs…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-21 Simone Catanzaro , Elvira Di Nardo

We consider a Markovian jumping process with two absorbing barriers, for which the waiting-time distribution involves a position-dependent coefficient. We solve the Fokker-Planck equation with boundary conditions and calculate the mean…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-10-16 A. Kamińska , T. Srokowski

The generalized master equation or the equivalent continuous time random walk equations can be used to compute the macroscopic first passage time distribution (FPTD) of a complex stochastic system from short-term microscopic simulation…

化学物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 David Shalloway , Anton Faradjian

Motivated by the interplay between structural and reduced form credit models, we propose to model the firm value process as a time-changed Brownian motion that may include jumps and stochastic volatility effects, and to study the first…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-04-16 T. R. Hurd

We derive an approximate formula for the mean first-passage time (MFPT) to a small absorbing target of arbitrary shape inside an elongated domain of a slowly varying axisymmetric profile. For this purpose, the original Poisson equation in…

化学物理 · 物理学 2022-05-06 Denis S. Grebenkov , Alexei T. Skvortsov