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Intuitively, the default risk of a single borrower is higher when her or his assets and debt are denominated in different currencies. Additionally, the default dependence of borrowers with assets and debt in different currencies should be…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Dirk Tasche

The structural default model of Lipton and Sepp, 2009 is generalized for a set of banks with mutual interbank liabilities whose assets are driven by correlated Levy processes with idiosyncratic and common components. The multi-dimensional…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2014-11-25 Andrey Itkin , Alexander Lipton

It had been believed in the conventional practice that the risk of a bank going bankrupt is lessened in a straightforward manner by transferring the risk of loan defaults. But the failure of American International Group in 2008 posed a more…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

Debt recycling is an aggressive equity extraction strategy that potentially permits faster repayment of a mortgage. While equity progressively builds up as the mortgage is repaid monthly, mortgage holders may obtain another loan they could…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-01-28 Sabrina Aufiero , Preben Forer , Pierpaolo Vivo , Fabio Caccioli , Silvia Bartolucci

In the context of micro-finance, a group of individuals undertake business projects that may interfere with one another. A contagious default happens if one person's project failure leads to the default of another group member. In this…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-01 Héctor Jasso-Fuentes , Alejandra Quintos , Xinta Yang

We obtain an explicit formula for the bilateral counterparty valuation adjustment of a credit default swaps portfolio referencing an asymptotically large number of entities. We perform the analysis under a doubly stochastic intensity…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-05-27 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi

This econophysics work studies the long-range Ising model of a finite system with $N$ spins and the exchange interaction $\frac{J}{N}$ and the external field $H$ as a modely for homogeneous credit portfolio of assets with default…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 K. Kitsukawa , S. Mori , M. Hisakado

We introduce a model for the loss distribution of a credit portfolio considering a contagion mechanism for the default of names which is the result of two independent components: an infection attempt generated by defaulting entities and a…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2026-01-22 Gabriele Torri , Rosella Giacometti , Gianluca Farina

Regression models for limited continuous dependent variables having a non-negligible probability of attaining exactly their limits are presented. The models differ in the number of parameters and in their flexibility. Fractional data being…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-05-31 Fabio Sigrist , Werner A. Stahel

Based on the work of Suzuki (2002), we consider a generalization of Merton's asset valuation approach (Merton, 1974) in which two firms are linked by cross-ownership of equity and liabilities. Suzuki's results then provide no arbitrage…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-01-30 Sabine Karl , Tom Fischer

This paper examines the possibility of using derivative-implied risk premia to explain stock returns. The rapid development of derivative markets has led to the possibility of trading various kinds of risks, such as credit and interest rate…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-06-01 Florian Steiger

A probabilistic method for solving time-dependent load-transfer models of fracture is developed. It is applicable to any rule of load redistribution, i.e, local, hierarchical, etc. In the new method, the fluctuations are generated during…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-08-17 J. B. Gomez , Y. Moreno , A. F. Pacheco

Regression discontinuity (RD) is a widely used quasi-experimental design for causal inference. In the standard RD, the assignment to treatment is determined by a continuous pretreatment variable (i.e., running variable) falling above or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-23 Fan Li , Andrea Mercatanti , Taneli Makinen , Andrea Silvestrini

As it is known in the finance risk and macroeconomics literature, risk-sharing in large portfolios may increase the probability of creation of default clusters and of systemic risk. We review recent developments on mathematical and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We study the pricing of credit derivatives with asymmetric information. The managers have complete information on the value process of the firm and on the default threshold, while the investors on the market have only partial observations,…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-02-18 Caroline Hillairet , Ying Jiao

This paper discusses the valuation of credit default swaps, where default is announced when the reference asset price has gone below certain level from the last record maximum, also known as the high-water mark or drawdown. We assume that…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-29 Zbigniew Palmowski , Budhi Surya

The authors examine the concept of probability of default for asset-backed loans. In contrast to unsecured loans it is shown that probability of default can be defined as either a measure of the likelihood of the borrower failing to make…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-07-01 David Chisholm , Graham Andersen

This work focuses on financial risks from a probabilistic point of view. The value of a firm is described as a geometric Brownian motion and default emerges as a first passage time event. On the technical side, the critical threshold that…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-14 Carlos Bouthelier-Madre , Carlos Escudero

This paper presents a new model for pricing financial derivatives subject to collateralization. It allows for collateral arrangements adhering to bankruptcy laws. As such, the model can back out the market price of a collateralized…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-05-31 Tim Xiao

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter