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相关论文: Asymptotic analysis of a stochastic SVEIS epidemic…

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This paper deals with a new epidemiological model of SIRS with stochastic perturbations. The primary objective is to establish the existence of a unique non-negative nonlocal solution. Using the basic reproduction number $\mathscr{R}_0$…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Matthias Ehrhardt

The stochastic extinction and stability in the mean of a family of SEIRS malaria models with a general nonlinear incidence rate is presented. The dynamics is driven by independent white noise processes from the disease transmission and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

In this paper we study the diffusion of an SIS-type epidemics on a network under the presence of a random environment, that enters in the definition of the infection rates of the nodes. Accordingly, we model the infection rates in the form…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-25 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano

In this chapter, we consider a reaction-diffusion SVIR infection model with dis-tributed delay and nonlinear incidence rate. The wellposedness of the proposed model is proved. By means of Lyapunov functionals, we show that the disease-free…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Mostafa Tahiri , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

The aim of this paper is to study the stochastic SIR equation with general incidence functional responses and in which both natural death rates and the incidence rate are perturbed by white noises. We derive a sufficient and almost…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-07-26 N. H. Du , N. N. Nhu

This paper studies the spread dynamics of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and varying population size, which is formulated as a piecewise deterministic Markov process. A threshold dynamic determined by the basic…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-10-26 Dan Li , Shengqiang Liu , Jing'an Cui

In this paper we consider the stability of a class of deterministic and stochastic SEIRS epidemic models with delay. Indeed, we assume that the transmission rate could be stochastic and the presence of a latency period of $r$ consecutive…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-22 Xavier Bardina , Marco Ferrante , Carles Rovira

In this paper we consider a stochastic SEIQR (susceptible-exposed-infected-quarantined-recovered) epidemic model with a generalized incidence function. Using the Lyapunov method, we establish the existence and uniqueness of a global…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-01-31 Brahim Boukanjime , Mohamed Maama

We study that the breakdown of epidemic depends on some parameters, that is expressed in epidemic reproduction ratio number. It is noted that when $R_0 $ exceeds 1, the stochastic model have two different results. But, eventually the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-19 Kurnia Susvitasari

In this paper, we consider a stochastic SIRS model with general incidence rate and perturbed by both white noise and color noise. We determine the threshold $\lambda$ that is used to classify the extinction and permanence of the disease. In…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-26 T. D. Tuong , Dang H. Nguyen , N. T. Dieu , Ky Tran

We study a stochastic SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) epidemic dynamics on network, under the effect of a Markovian regime-switching. We first prove the existence of a unique global positive solution, and find a positive invariant…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-03 Stefania Ottaviano , Stefano Bonaccorsi

This paper focuses on and analyzes realistic SIR models that take stochasticity into account. The proposed systems are applicable to most incidence rates that are used in the literature including the bilinear incidence rate, the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-10 Nguyen Du , Alexandru Hening , Nhu Nguyen , George Yin

We study a stochastic spatial epidemic model where the $N$ individuals carry two features: a position and an infection state, interact and move in $\R^d$. In this Markovian model, the evolution of the infection states are described with the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-05 Yen V. Vuong , Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux

In this paper, a stochastic SEQIR epidemic model with Markovian regime-switching is proposed and investigated. The governmental policy and implement efficiency are concerned by a generalized incidence function of the susceptible class. We…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-27 Hongjie Fan , Kai Wang , Yanling Zhu

This paper focuses on the analysis of a stochastic SAIRS-type epidemic model that explicitly incorporates the roles of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals in disease transmission dynamics. Asymptomatic carriers, often…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-01-14 Brahim Boukanjime , Mohamed El Fatini , Mohamed Maama

Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Sam A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Colin S. Gillespie , Theodore Kypraios

Compartmental models are effective in modeling the spread of infectious pathogens, but have remaining weaknesses in fitting to real datasets exhibiting stochastic effects. We propose a stochastic SIHR model with a dynamic transmission rate,…

We study the stability of $\mathcal{M}_0$, an invariant subset of a Markov process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ on a metric space $\mathcal{M}$. By building the theory of average Lyapunov functions, we formulate general criteria based on the signs of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-30 Juraj Foldes , Declan Stacy

In this study we investigate a novel approach to stochastically perturb the disease transmission coefficient, which is a key parameter in susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) models. Motivated by the papers [2] and [5], we perturb the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-18 Alberto Lanconelli , Berk Tan Perçin

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill
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