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Non-Gaussian outcomes are often modeled using members of the so-called exponential family. Notorious members are the Bernoulli model for binary data, leading to logistic regression, and the Poisson model for count data, leading to Poisson…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-14 Geert Molenberghs , Geert Verbeke , Clarice G. B. Demétrio , Afrânio M. C. Vieira

The study of sums of possibly associated Bernoulli random variables has been hampered by an asymmetry between positive correlation and negative correlation. The Conway-Maxwell Binomial (COMB) distribution and its multivariate extension, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-08 Joseph B. Kadane

For branching processes, the generating functions for limit distributions of so-called ratios of probabilities of rare events satisfy the Schr\"oder-type integral-functional equations. Excepting limited special cases, the corresponding…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-01 Anton A. Kutsenko

We study the problem of computing the tightest upper and lower bounds on the probability that the sum of $n$ dependent Bernoulli random variables exceeds an integer $k$. Under knowledge of all pairs of bivariate distributions denoted by a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-16 Divya Padmanabhan , Karthik Natarajan

The negative binomial distribution NB$(k,r)$ of Type I is the probability distribution for a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials (with success parameter $p\in(0,1)$) with $r$ nonoverlapping success runs of length $\ge k$. We present a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-30 S. R. Mane

Let i.i.d. symmetric Bernoulli random variables be associated to the edges of a binary tree having n levels. To any leaf of the tree, we associate the sum of variables along the path connecting the leaf with the tree root. Let M_n denote…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-24 M. A. Lifshits

We approximate the distribution of the sum of independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables using a shifted binomial distribution where the three parameters (the number of trials, the probability of…

概率论 · 数学 2010-04-02 Vydas Čekanavičius , Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Michael Shwartz

We consider loop ensembles on random trees. The loops are induced by a Poisson process of links sampled on the underlying tree interpreted as a metric graph. We allow two types of links, crosses and double bars. The crosses-only case…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-06 Andreas Klippel , Benjamin Lees , Christian Mönch

In this article, we provide an extension of the Chen-Stein inequality for Poisson approximation in the total variation distance for sums of independent Bernoulli random variables in two ways. We prove that we can improve the rate of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-26 Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali , Gabriele Visentin

A Poisson Binomial distribution over $n$ variables is the distribution of the sum of $n$ independent Bernoullis. We provide a sample near-optimal algorithm for testing whether a distribution $P$ supported on $\{0,...,n\}$ to which we have…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2014-10-15 Jayadev Acharya , Constantinos Daskalakis

Let $X$, $B$ and $Y$ be three Dirichlet, Bernoulli and beta independent random variables such that $X\sim \mathcal{D}(a_0,...,a_d),$ such that $\Pr(B=(0,...,0,1,0,...,0))=a_i/a$ with $a=\sum_{i=0}^da_i$ and such that $Y\sim \beta(1,a).$ We…

概率论 · 数学 2012-04-12 Pawel Hitczenko , Gerard Letac

We examine a generalization of the binomial distribution associated with a strictly increasing sequence of numbers and we prove its Poisson-like limit. Such generalizations might be found in quantum optics with imperfect detection. We…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-05-28 E. M. F. Curado , J. P. Gazeau , Ligia M. C. S. Rodrigues

In this paper we develop a very general class of bivariate discrete distributions. The basic idea is very simple. The marginals are obtained by taking the random geometric sum of a baseline distribution function. The proposed class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-22 Debasis Kundu

Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

组合数学 · 数学 2023-06-22 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo

The sum of $n$ {non-independent} Bernoulli random variables could be modeled in several different ways. One of these is the Multiplicative Binomial Distribution (MBD), introduced by Altham (1978) and revised by Lovison (1998). In this work,…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-26 Francesca Fortunato

Let $b(x)$ be the probability that a sum of independent Bernoulli random variables with parameters $p_1, p_2, p_3, \ldots \in [0,1)$ equals $x$, where $\lambda := p_1 + p_2 + p_3 + \cdots$ is finite. We prove two inequalities for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-24 Lutz Duembgen , Jon A. Wellner

We introduce a new model for sums of exchangeable binary random variables. The proposed distribution is an approximation to the exact distributional form, and relies on the theory of completely monotone functions and the Laplace transform…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-18 Ryan Elmore

This paper presents a framework for binary autoregressive time series in which each observation is a Bernoulli variable whose success probability evolves with past outcomes and probabilities, in the spirit of GARCH-type dynamics,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-17 Anna Bykhovskaya , Nour Meddahi

Let $\{\eta_i\}_{i\ge 1}$ be a sequence of dependent Bernoulli random variables. While the Poisson approximation for the distribution of $\sum_{i=1}^n\eta_i$ has been extensively studied in the literature, this paper establishes new…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-03 Hua-Ming Wang , Shuxiong Zhang

Let $ V_{n} = X_{1,n} + X_{2,n} + \cdots + X_{n,n}$ where $X_{i,n}$ are Bernoulli random variables which take the value $1$ with probability $b(i;n)$. Let $\lambda_{n} = \sum\limits_{i=1}^{n} b(i;n) $, $\lambda = \lim\limits_{n \to \infty}…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-18 Italo Simonelli , Lucia D. Simonelli
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