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Around 2008, Schramm conjectured that the critical probabilities for Bernoulli bond percolation satisfy the following continuity property: If $(G_n)_{n\geq 1}$ is a sequence of transitive graphs converging locally to a transitive graph $G$…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-29 Tom Hutchcroft

This paper is a study of power series, where the coefficients are binomial expressions (iterated finite differences). Our results can be used for series summation, for series transformation, or for asymptotic expansions involving Stirling…

数论 · 数学 2016-10-10 Khristo N. Boyadzhiev

Consider a discrete-time one-dimensional supercritical branching random walk. We study the probability that there exists an infinite ray in the branching random walk that always lies above the line of slope $\gamma-\epsilon$, where $\gamma$…

概率论 · 数学 2010-02-16 Nina Gantert , Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

We explore the class of exchangeable Bernoulli distributions building on their geometrical structure. Exchangeable Bernoulli probability mass functions are points in a convex polytope and we have found analytical expressions for their…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

The binomial, the negative binomial, the Poisson, the compound Poisson and the Erlang distribution do all admit integral representations with respect to its (continuous) parameter. We use the Margulis-Russo type formulas for Bernoulli and…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-05 Guenter Last , Sergei Zuyev

Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-23 Christopher Beckham , Christopher Pal

As was noted already by A. N. Kolmogorov, any random variable has a Bernoulli component. This observation provides a tool for the extension of results which are known for Bernoulli random variables to arbitrary distributions. Two…

概率论 · 数学 2010-10-26 Michael Aizenman , Francois Germinet , Abel Klein , Simone Warzel

Consider a discrete-time optimal selection problem where one observes a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials and receives a nonnegative reward upon stopping on a success. The aim is to find a single-choice strategy that maximises the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-30 Zakaria Derbazi

The robust Poisson method is becoming increasingly popular when estimating the association of exposures with a binary outcome. Unlike the logistic regression model, the robust Poisson method yields results that can be interpreted as risk or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-14 Denis Talbot , Miceline Mésidor , Yohann Chiu , Marc Simard , Caroline Sirois

This paper considers the entropy of the sum of (possibly dependent and non-identically distributed) Bernoulli random variables. Upper bounds on the error that follows from an approximation of this entropy by the entropy of a Poisson random…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Igal Sason

We study limit distributions for random variables defined in terms of coefficients of a power series which is determined by a certain linear functional equation. Our technique combines the method of moments with the kernel method of…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-14 Uwe Schwerdtfeger

In this paper introduces a new family of continuous distributions namely the Poison transmuted-G family of distribution is proposed by inducing two addition parameter on the base line G distribution. Some of its mathematical properties…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-12 Laba Handique , Subrata Chakraborty

Let $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ be a sequence of independent or locally dependent random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_+$. In this paper, we derive sharp bounds, via a new probabilistic method, for the total variation distance between the…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-11 Michael V. Boutsikas , Eutichia Vaggelatou

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In a previous paper of one of the authors it was established that one of these…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-06 Serguei Dachian , Ilia Negri

The negative binomial distribution has been widely used as a more flexible model than the Poisson distribution for count data. However, when the true data-generating process is Poisson, it is often challenging to distinguish it from a…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-07 Yingying Yang , Niloufar Dousti Mousavi , Zhou Yu , Jie Yang

One can consider $\mu$-Martin-L\"of randomness for a probability measure $\mu$ on $2^{\omega}$, such as the Bernoulli measure $\mu_p$ given $p \in (0, 1)$. We study Bernoulli randomness of sequences in $n^{\omega}$ with parameters $p_0,…

逻辑 · 数学 2020-11-30 Andrew DeLapo

In this paper, we investigate the distribution of the maximum of partial sums of certain cubic exponential sums, commonly known as "Birch sums". Our main theorem gives upper and lower bounds (of nearly the same order of magnitude) for the…

数论 · 数学 2020-07-15 Youness Lamzouri

A result of Chebyshev (1864) and Hoeffding1956}, on bounding an expectation of a given function with respect to a Bernoulli convolution (also called Poisson binomial law, or law of the number of successes in independent trials) with any…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-14 Lutz Mattner

We propose a probability distribution for multivariate binary random variables. The probability distribution is expressed as principal minors of the parameter matrix, which is a matrix analogous to the inverse covariance matrix in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-08 Takashi Arai

We analyze a class of continuous time random walks in $\mathbb R^d,d\geq 2,$ with uniformly distributed directions. The steps performed by these processes are distributed according to a generalized Dirichlet law. Given the number of changes…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-16 Alessandro De Gregorio