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相关论文: Analytical Survival Analysis of the Non-autonomous…

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We use asymptotic methods from the theory of differential equations to obtain an analytical expression for the survival probability of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with a potential defined over a broad domain. We form a uniformly…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-11-26 L. T. Giorgini , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

We prove some efficient inference results concerning estimation of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression model, which is driven by a non-Gaussian stable Levy process and where the output process is observed at high-frequency over a fixed time…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-18 Hiroki Masuda

This paper aims to derive accurate asymptotic estimates for the exit time probabilities of scalar Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) bridges. The exit time probabilities are expressed as an asymptotic series in powers of a small parameter that…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-03 Feng Zhao , Yang Li , Jianlong Wang , Xianbin Liu , Dongping Jin

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is interpreted as Brownian motion in a harmonic potential. This Gaussian Markov process has a bounded variance and admits a stationary probability distribution, in contrast to the standard Brownian motion. It…

We investigate the joint distribution and the multivariate survival functions for the maxima of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in consecutive time-intervals. A PDE method, alongside an eigenfunction expansion, is adopted with which we…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-19 Yupeng Jiang , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters

Using the path integral representation of the non-equilibrium dynamics, we compute the most probable path between arbitrary starting and final points, followed by an active particle driven by persistent noise. We focus our attention on the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-03-15 Andrea Crisanti , Matteo Paoluzzi

Tight estimates of exit/containment probabilities are of particular importance in many control problems. Yet, estimating the exit/containment probabilities is non-trivial: even for linear systems (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes), the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-10 Quang-Cuong Pham , Bastien Mallein , Jean-Jacques Slotine

We evaluate the steady-state distribution and escape rate for an Active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Particle (AOUP) using methods from the theory of large deviations. The calculation is carried out both for small and large memory times of the active…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-08-31 Eric Woillez , Yariv Kafri , Vivien Lecomte

We study the first-passage dynamics of a non-Markovian stochastic process with time-averaged feedback, which we model as a one-dimensional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process wherein the particle drift is modified by the empirical mean of its…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-09-16 Francesco Coghi , Romain Duvezin , John S. Wettlaufer

The first-passage problem of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to a boundary is a long-standing problem with no known closed-form solution except in specific cases. Taking this as a starting-point, and extending to a general mean-reverting…

数学物理 · 物理学 2020-02-27 R. J. Martin , M. J. Kearney , R. V. Craster

The Fokker--Planck equation is a key ingredient of many models in physics, and related subjects, and arises in a diverse array of settings. Analytical solutions are limited to special cases, and resorting to numerical simulation is often…

数学物理 · 物理学 2019-02-20 R. J. Martin , R. V. Craster , A. Pannier , M. J. Kearney

We consider the area functional defined by the integral of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process which starts from a given value and ends at the time it first reaches zero (its equilibrium level). Exact results are presented for the mean, variance,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-05-05 Michael J. Kearney , Richard J. Martin

It is considered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $ x_t = x_0 e^{-\theta t} + \mu (1-e^{-\theta t}) + \sigma \int_0^t e^{-\theta (t-s)} dW_s$, where $x_0 \in R$, $\theta>0$, $ \mu \in R$ and $\sigma > 0$ are parameters. By use values $(z_k)_{k…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-30 Levan Labadze , Gogi Pantsulaia

In this paper, we study the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge process (i.e. the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process conditioned to start and end at fixed points) constraints to have a fixed area under its path. We present both anticipative (in this case, we…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-10-11 Alain Mazzolo

By employing a path integral formulation, we obtain the entropy production rate for a system of active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck particles (AOUP) both in the presence and in the absence of thermal noise. The present treatment clarifies some…

We consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a stochastic process widely used in finance, physics, and biology. Parameter estimation of the OU process is a challenging problem. Thus, we review traditional tracking methods and compare…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-24 Jacob Fein-Ashley

\noindent \textbf{Abstract}: We consider the parameter estimation problem for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X$ driven by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $V$, i.e. the pair of processes defined by the non-Markovian continuous-time…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-14 Brahim El Onsy , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

We consider the parametric estimation of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy process with the stable index $\alpha>1$ and possibly skewed jumps, based on a discrete-time sample over a fixed…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

In the paper we consider the problem of estimating parameters entering the drift of a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process in the non-ergodic case, when the underlying stochastic integral is of Young type. We consider the sampling…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-20 Radomyra Shevchenko , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-12 Stéphane Gaïffas , Gustaw Matulewicz
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