相关论文: Generalized Fractional Risk Process

We construct fractionally integrated continuous-time GARCH models, which capture the observed long range dependence of squared volatility in high-frequency data. Since the usual Molchan-Golosov and Mandelbrot-van-Ness fractional kernels…

The celebrated GKYP is widely used in integer-order control system. However, when it comes to the fractional order system, there exists no such tool to solve problems. This paper prove the FGKYP which can be used in the analysis of problems…

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

Various financial market scenarios may cause heterogeneous risk assessments among analysts, which motivates the usage of the Generalized Risk Measure in Fadina et al. (2024, Finance and Stochastics). Effectively synthesizing these diverse…

We provide sufficient conditions for polynomial rate of convergence in the weak law of large numbers for supercritical general indecomposable multi-type branching processes. The main result is derived by investigating the embedded…

In the present paper we consider general counting processes stopped at a random time $T$, independent of the process. Provided that $T$ has the decreasing failure rate (DFR) property, we give sufficient conditions on the arrival times so…

Functional limit theorem for continuous-time random walks (CTRW) are found in general case of dependent waiting times and jump sizes that are also position dependent. The limiting anomalous diffusion is described in terms of fractional…

This paper defines a new class of fractional differential operators alongside a family of random variables whose density functions solve fractional differential equations equipped with these operators. These equations can be further used to…

Building on the one-to-one relationship between generalized FGM copulas and multivariate Bernoulli distributions, we prove that the class of multivariate distributions with generalized FGM copulas is a convex polytope. Therefore, we find…

We propose the novel augmented Gaussian random field (AGRF), which is a universal framework incorporating the data of observable and derivatives of any order. Rigorous theory is established. We prove that under certain conditions, the…

Generalized Bayes posterior distributions are formed by putting a fractional power on the likelihood before combining with the prior via Bayes's formula. This fractional power, which is often viewed as a remedy for potential model…

The Probability Ranking Principle (PRP) has been considered as the foundational standard in the design of information retrieval (IR) systems. The principle requires an IR module's returned list of results to be ranked with respect to the…

Dealing with compound renewal process with generally distributed jump sizes and inter-renewal intervals, we focus on the approximation for the fixed-probability level, which is the core of inverse level crossing problem. We are developing…

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

We extend conformal prediction to control the expected value of any monotone loss function. The algorithm generalizes split conformal prediction together with its coverage guarantee. Like conformal prediction, the conformal risk control…

Hawkes process (HP) is a point process with a conditionally dependent intensity function. This paper defines the tempered fractional Hawkes process (TFHP) by time-changing the HP with an inverse tempered stable subordinator. We obtained…

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

With the development of new remote sensing technology, large or even massive spatial datasets covering the globe become available. Statistical analysis of such data is challenging. This article proposes a semiparametric approach to model…

We study Gaussian Process Thompson Sampling (GP-TS) for sequential decision-making over compact, continuous action spaces and provide a frequentist regret analysis based on fractional Gaussian process posteriors, without relying on domain…

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…