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In this work, the spread of a contagious disease on a society where the individuals may take precautions is modeled. The primary assumption is that the infected individuals transmit the infection to the susceptible members of the community…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

In this paper we study the diffusion of an SIS-type epidemics on a network under the presence of a random environment, that enters in the definition of the infection rates of the nodes. Accordingly, we model the infection rates in the form…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-25 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano

We model the spread of a SIS infection on Small World and random networks using weighted graphs. The entry $w_{ij}$ in the weight matrix W holds information about the transmission probability along the edge joining node $v_i$ and node…

综合数学 · 数学 2007-05-23 Britta Daudert , Bai-Lian Li

We study extensions of the classical SIR model of epidemic spread. First, we consider a single population modified SIR epidemics model in which the contact rate is allowed to be an arbitrary function of the fraction of susceptible and…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-12-17 Martina Alutto , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Epidemic spreading is well understood when a disease propagates around a contact graph. In a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible setting, spectral conditions characterise whether the disease vanishes. However, modelling human…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-09-15 Desmond John Higham , Henry-Louis de Kergorlay

I discuss the so-called SuperSpreader epidemic, for which SARS is the canonical examples (and, perhaps, MERS will be another). I use simulation by an agent-based model as well as the mathematics of multi-type branching-processes to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-08-30 W. David Wick

We study a susceptible-vaccinated--infected--recovered (SVIR) epidemic-spreading model with diversity of infection rate of the individuals. By means of analytical arguments as well as extensive computer simulations, we demonstrate that the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-12-05 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi wu , Jian-Yue Guan

Infectious diseases spread through human networks. Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model is one of the epidemic models to describe infection dynamics on a complex network connecting individuals. In the metapopulation SIR model, each node…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-08-27 Kanako Mizuno , Kazue Kudo

A Markovian SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model is considered for the spread of an epidemic on a configuration model network, in which susceptible individuals may take preventive measures by dropping edges to infectious neighbours.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-23 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , David Sirl

The epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) dynamics on random networks having a power law degree distribution with exponent $\gamma>3$ has been investigated using different mean-field approaches, which predict…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-19 Angélica S. Mata , Silvio C. Ferreira

The spread of sexually transmitted diseases (e.g. Chlamydia, Syphilis, Gonorrhea, HIV) across populations is a major concern for scientists and health agencies. In this context, both data collection on sexual contact networks and the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 J. Gomez-Gardenes , V. Latora , Y. Moreno , E. V. Profumo

This paper considers a stochastic SIR (susceptible$\to$infective$\to$removed) epidemic model in which individuals may make infectious contacts in two ways, both within `households' (which for ease of exposition are assumed to have equal…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-13 Frank Ball , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

We consider the spread of a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease through finite populations and derive an expression for the final size distribution. Our derivation allows arbitrary distributions of the number of transmissions…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-07-12 Joel C Miller

Consider a uniformly mixing population which grows as a super-critical linear birth and death process. At some time an infectious disease (of SIR or SEIR type) is introduced by one individual being infected from outside. It is shown that…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-17 Tom Britton , Pieter Trapman

We describe the phenomenon of localization in the epidemic SIS model on highly heterogeneous networks in which strongly connected nodes (hubs) play the role of centers of localization. We find that in this model the localized states below…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-14 R. S. Ferreira , R. A. da Costa , S. N. Dorogovtsev , J. F. F. Mendes

We study a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model on a network of $n$ interacting subpopulations. We analyze the transient and asymptotic behavior of the infection dynamics in each node of the network. In contrast to the…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-03-18 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

In this paper we study the household-structure SIS epidemic spreading on general complex networks. The household structure gives us the way to distinguish inner and the outer infection rate. Unlike household-structure models on homogenous…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-02-14 Jingzhou Liu , Jinshan Wu , Z. R. Yang

Infectious disease superspreading caused by heterogeneity in contact behavior has been observed to be an important determinant of epidemic dynamics and size in both empirical and theoretical settings. However, it has also been observed that…

We investigate phase transitions associated with three control methods for epidemics on small world networks. Motivated by the behavior of SARS-CoV-2, we construct a theoretical SIR model of a virus that exhibits presymptomatic,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-13 Benjamin Braun , Başak Taraktaş , Brian Beckage , Jane Molofsky

A random network model which allows for tunable, quite general forms of clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution is defined. The model is an extension of the configuration model, in which stubs (half-edges) are paired to form…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-31 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , David Sirl