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We investigate models of the life annuity insurance when the company invests its reserve into a risky asset with price following a geometric Brownian motion. Our main result is an exact asymptotic of the ruin probabilities for the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-19 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. Define a risk process \label{Rudef} R_u^{\delta}(t)=e^{\delta t}\left(u+c\int^{t}_{0}e^{-\delta s}d s-\sigma\int_{0}^{t}e^{-\delta s}d B(s)\right), t\geq0, where $u\geq 0$ is the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-14 Long Bai , Li Luo

We consider statistical inference for a class of continuous semimartingale regression models based on high-frequency observations subject to contamination by finite-activity jumps and spike noise. By employing density-power weighting and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

Gaussian random vectors exhibit the loss of dimension phenomena, which relate to their joint survival tail behaviour. Besides, the fact that the components of such vectors are light-tailed complicates the approximations of various…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-10-09 E. Hashorva

For a given centered Gaussian process with stationary increments $\{X(t), t\geq 0\}$ and $c>0$, let $$ W_\gamma(t)=X(t)-ct-\gamma\inf_{0\leq s\leq t}\left(X(s)-cs\right), \quad t\geq 0$$ denote the $\gamma$-reflected process, where…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-08 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Peng Liu

We analyse the asymptotics of ruin probabilities of two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions when the initial reserves of both companies tend…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-02 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski , Tomasz Rolski

Let $X_t^\sharp$ be a multivariate process of the form $X_t =Y_t - Z_t$, $X_0=x$, killed at some terminal time $T$, where $Y_t$ is a Markov process having only jumps of the length smaller than $\delta$, and $Z_t$ is a compound Poisson…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-22 Victoria Knopova , Zbigniew Palmowski

Let $\{X(s,t):s,t\geqslant 0\}$ be a centered homogeneous Gaussian field with a.s. continuous sample paths and correlation function $r(s,t)=Cov(X(s,t),X(0,0))$ such that…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-11 Krzysztof Dębicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Natalia Soja-Kukieła

This paper presents a novel model for bivariate stochastic fluid processes that incorporate a ruin-dependent behavioral switch. Unlike typical models that assume a shared underlying process, our model allows each process to operate…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-01 Hamed Amini , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

In this paper, we study the ruin problem with investment in a general framework where the business part X is a L{\'e}vy process and the return on investment R is a semimartingale. We obtain upper bounds on the finite and infinite time ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-02 Lioudmila Vostrikova , Jérôme Spielmann

Our work aims to study the tail behaviour of weighted sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} X_{i} \prod_{j=1}^{i}Y_{j}$, where $(X_{i}, Y_{i})$ are independent and identically distributed, with common joint distribution bivariate Sarmanov.…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-05 Krishanu Maulik , Moumanti Podder

Consider a sequence $\{(X_{i}, Y_{i})\}$ of independent and identically distributed random vectors, with joint distribution bivariate Sarmanov. This is a natural set-up for discrete time financial risk models with insurance risks. Of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-19 Krishanu Maulik , Moumanti Podder

We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Ross A. Maller

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent centered stationary Gaussian processes with unit variance and almost surely continuous sample paths. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of conjunctions $C_{[0,T],u}:=\{t\in…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Kamil Tabis

We explicitly find the rate of exponential long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent L\'evy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows to reduce the pro blem to long-term convergence of a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-02 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Andrey Sarantsev

In this paper we develop a symbolic technique to obtain asymptotic expressions for ruin probabilities and discounted penalty functions in renewal insurance risk models when the premium income depends on the present surplus of the insurance…

Estimating the probability of failure for expensive simulations is a central task in reliability analysis for structural design, power grid design, and safety certification, among other areas. This work derives credible intervals on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-16 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Vishwas Rao

We consider a dual risk model with constant expense rate and i.i.d. exponentially distributed gains $C_i$ ($i=1,2,\dots$) that arrive according to a renewal process with general interarrival times. We add to this classical dual risk model…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-02 Onno Boxma , Esther Frostig , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider a $d-$dimensional insurance network, with initial capital $a\in\R^d_+,$ operating under a risk diversifying treaty; this is described in terms of a regulated random walk $\{Z^{(a)}_n\}$ via Skorokhod problem in $\R^d_+$ with…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-09 S. Ramasubramanian

Let $X$ be a real valued random variable with an unbounded distribution $F$ and let $Y$ be a nonnegative valued random variable with a unbounded distribution $G$, which satisfy that \begin{eqnarray*} P(X>x|Y=y)\sim h(y)P(X>x)…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-12 Jikun Chen , Hui Xu , Fengyang Cheng