相关论文: A ruin model with a resampled environment
An important family of stochastic processes arising in many areas of applied probability is the class of L\'evy processes. Generally, such processes are not simulatable especially for those with infinite activity. In practice, it is common…
We study the discrete time risk process modelled by the skip-free random walk and we derive the results connected to the ruin probability, such as crossing the fixed level, for this kind of process. We use the method relying on the…
For a bivariate \Levy process $(\xi_t,\eta_t)_{t\ge 0}$ and initial value $V_0$ define the Generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GOU) process \[ V_t:=e^{\xi_t}\Big(V_0+\int_0^t e^{-\xi_{s-}}\ud \eta_s\Big),\quad t\ge0,\] and the associated…
We explicitly find the rate of exponential long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent L\'evy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows to reduce the pro blem to long-term convergence of a…
This article proposes a method for measuring the latent risks involved in the recovery process of non performing loans in financial institutions and business firms that deal with collection and recovery processes. To that end, we apply the…
This paper presents some new results on Parisian ruin under Levy insurance risk process, where ruin occurs when the process has gone below a fixed level from the last record maximum, also known as the high-water mark or drawdown, for a…
The paper deals with the ruin problem of an insurance company investing its capital reserve in a risky asset with the price dynamics given by a conditional geometric Brownian motion whose parameters depend on a Markov process describing a…
This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…
In this contribution we study asymptotics of the simultaneous Parisian ruin probability of a two-dimensional fractional Brownian motion risk process. This risk process models the surplus processes of an insurance and a reinsurance…
Stochastic resetting -- the intermittent restart of random processes -- has profoundly reshaped first-passage theory, providing a mechanism to control and optimize completion times. While the influence of resetting on mean first-passage…
This paper presents a novel model for bivariate stochastic fluid processes that incorporate a ruin-dependent behavioral switch. Unlike typical models that assume a shared underlying process, our model allows each process to operate…
In this paper, we build on the techniques developed in Albrecher et al. (2013), to generate initial-boundary value problems for ruin probabilities of surplus-dependent premium risk processes, under a renewal case scenario, Erlang (2) claim…
We prove that a large class of discrete-time insurance surplus processes converge weakly to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, under a suitable re-normalization and when the time-step goes to 0. Motivated by ruin theory, we use this…
We consider an interesting natural extension to the Parisian ruin problem under the assumption that the risk reserve dynamics are given by a spectrally negative L\'evy process. The distinctive feature of this extension is that the…
In this text, we establish the risk model based on AR(1) series and propose the basic model which has a dependent structure under intensity of claim number. Considering some properties of the risk model, we take advantage of newton…
We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company invests its reserve in a risky asset with a switching regime price. We assume that the asset price is a conditional geometric Brownian motion with parameters modulated by…
We investigate models of the life annuity insurance when the company invests its reserve into a risky asset with price following a geometric Brownian motion. Our main result is an exact asymptotic of the ruin probabilities for the case of…
This paper introduces yet another stochastic model replicating chain-ladder estimates and furthermore considers extensions that add flexibility to the modeling. In its simplest form, the proposed model replicates the chain-ladder's…
If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…
The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.