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We present a novel methodology to quantify the "impact" of and "response" to market shocks. We apply shocks to a group of stocks in a part of the market, and we quantify the effects in terms of average losses on another part of the market…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-06-17 Isobel Seabrook , Fabio Caccioli , Tomaso Aste

Cross-sectional dispersion in firm-level realized skewness is significantly and negatively related to future stock market returns. The predictive power of skewness dispersion is robust to in-sample and out-of-sample estimation and is…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-10 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik , Josef Kurka

We study stock market instability by using cross-correlations constructed from the return time series of 366 stocks traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange from January 5, 1998 to December 30, 2013. To investigate the dynamical evolution of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-19 Tetsuya Takaishi

This article investigates the correlation structure of the global crude oil market using the daily returns of 71 oil price time series across the world from 1992 to 2012. We identify from the correlation matrix six clusters of time series…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-11-08 Yue-Hua Dai , Wen-Jie Xie , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , George J. Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

With the emergence of high-frequency connected and automated vehicle data, analysts have become able to extract useful information from them. To this end, the concept of "driving volatility" is defined and explored as deviation from the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-05-16 Mohsen Kamrani , Ramin Arvin , Asad J. Khattak

We investigate the two components of the total daily return (close-to-close), the overnight return (close-to-open) and the daytime return (open-to-close), as well as the corresponding volatilities of the 2215 NYSE stocks from 1988 to 2007.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-06-02 Fengzhong Wang , Shwu-Jane Shieh , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

No matter its source, financial- or policy-related, uncertainty can feed onto itself, inflicting the real economic sector, altering expectations and behaviours, and leading to identification challenges in empirical applications. The strong…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-15 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Catalin Dragomirescu-Gaina

Stock market comovements are examined using cointegration, Granger causality tests and nonlinear approaches in context of mutual information and correlations. Underlying data sets are affected by non-stationarities and trends, we also apply…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-07-07 Paulo Ferreira , Andreia Dionísio , S. M. S. Movahed

In order to emphasize cross-correlations for fluctuations in major market places, series of up and down spins are built from financial data. Patterns frequencies are measured, and statistical tests performed. Strong cross-correlations are…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 N. Vandewalle , Ph. Boveroux , F. Brisbois

In this article, we present a discrete time modeling framework, in which the shape and dynamics of a Limit Order Book (LOB) arise endogenously from an equilibrium between multiple market participants (agents). We use the proposed modeling…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2017-05-10 Roman Gayduk , Sergey Nadtochiy

We explore a decomposition in which returns on a large class of portfolios relative to the market depend on a smooth non-negative drift and changes in the asset price distribution. This decomposition is obtained using general continuous…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-10-31 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Caleb Stroup

Over the last two decades, financial systems have been studied and analysed from the perspective of complex networks, where the nodes and edges in the network represent the various financial components and the strengths of correlations…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-02 Areejit Samal , Sunil Kumar , Yasharth Yadav , Anirban Chakraborti

The integration and innovation of finance and technology have gradually transformed the financial system into a complex one. Analyses of the causesd of abnormal fluctuations in the financial market to extract early warning indicators…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-03-20 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang , Wenqing Zhang

This study attempts to investigate into the structure and features of global equity markets from a time-frequency perspective. An analysis grounded on this framework allows one to capture information from a different dimension, as opposed…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-04-21 Avishek Bhandari

This paper studies the transmission of US monetary policy shocks into Emerging Markets emphasizing the role of investment and financial heterogeneity. First, we use a panel SVAR model to show that a US interest tightening leads to a…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-23 Santiago Camara , Sebastian Ramirez Venegas

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian reverse unrestricted mixed-frequency model applied to a panel of nine European electricity markets. Our model analyzes the impact of daily fossil fuel prices and hourly renewable energy generation on…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-01 Francesco Ravazzolo , Luca Rossini , Andrea Viselli

Cross-border equity and long-term debt securities portfolio investment networks are analysed from 2002 to 2012, covering the 2008 global financial crisis. They serve as network-proxies for measuring the robustness of the global financial…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2014-03-05 Andreas Joseph , Stephan Joseph , Guanrong Chen

This study investigates the volatility of daily Bitcoin returns and multifractal properties of the Bitcoin market by employing the rolling window method and examines relationships between the volatility asymmetry and market efficiency.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-18 Tetsuya Takaishi

We study the statistical properties of volatility---a measure of how much the market is likely to fluctuate. We estimate the volatility by the local average of the absolute price changes. We analyze (a) the S&P 500 stock index for the…

The association between log-price increments of exchange-traded equities, as measured by their spot correlation estimated from high-frequency data, exhibits a pronounced upward-sloping and almost piecewise linear relationship at the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-16 Kim Christensen , Ulrich Hounyo , Zhi Liu