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Measuring systemic risk or fragility of financial systems is a ubiquitous task of fundamental importance in analyzing market efficiency, portfolio allocation, and containment of financial contagions. Recent attempts have shown that…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-05-21 Romeil Sandhu , Tryphon Georgiou , Allen Tannenbaum

We investigate quantitatively the so-called leverage effect, which corresponds to a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility. For individual stocks, this correlation is moderate and decays exponentially over 50 days,…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Andrew Matacz , Marc Potters

In the international oil trade network (iOTN), trade shocks triggered by extreme events may spread over the entire network along the trade links of the central economies and even lead to the collapse of the whole system. In this study, we…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-23 N. Wei , W. -J. Xie , W. -X. Zhou

Modelling accurately financial price variations is an essential step underlying portfolio allocation optimization, derivative pricing and hedging, fund management and trading. The observed complex price fluctuations guide and constraint our…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-30 A. Arneodo , J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette

We examine dynamic coupling and feedback effects between High Frequency Traders (HFTs) and how they can destabilize markets. We develop a general framework for modelling dynamic interaction based on recurrence relations, and use this to…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-05-29 Christopher D. Clack , Elias Court , Dmitrijs Zaparanuks

According to the volatility feedback effect, an unexpected increase in squared volatility leads to an immediate decline in the price-dividend ratio. In this paper, we consider the properties of stock price dynamics and option valuations…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-06-11 Juho Kanniainen , Robert Piché

We provide a new investigation of the relationship between oil and stock prices in the context of the outbreak of the new coronavirus crisis. Specifically, we assess to what extent the uncertainty induced by COVID-19 affects the interaction…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-13 Claudiu Albulescu , Michel Mina , Cornel Oros

According to the leading models in modern finance, the presence of intraday lead-lag relationships between financial assets is negligible in efficient markets. With the advance of technology, however, markets have become more sophisticated.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-01-03 Chester Curme , Michele Tumminello , Rosario N. Mantegna , H. Eugene Stanley , Dror Y. Kenett

As financial instruments grow in complexity more and more information is neglected by risk optimization practices. This brings down a curtain of opacity on the origination of risk, that has been one of the main culprits in the 2007-2008…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2019-10-23 Marco Bardoscia , Daniele d'Arienzo , Matteo Marsili , Valerio Volpati

How, and to what extent, does an interconnected financial system endogenously amplify external shocks? This paper attempts to reconcile some apparently different views emerged after the 2008 crisis regarding the nature and the relevance of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-08-30 Gabriele Visentin , Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico

We present a systematic study of various statistical characteristics of high-frequency returns from the foreign exchange market. This study is based on six exchange rates forming two triangles: EUR-GBP-USD and GBP-CHF-JPY. It is shown that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-05-24 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

Recent studies show that a negative shock in stock prices will generate more volatility than a positive shock of similar magnitude. The aim of this paper is to appraise the hypothesis under which the conditional mean and the conditional…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Nuno B. Ferreira , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

By incorporating market impact and asymmetric sensitivity into the evolutionary minority game, we study the coevolutionary dynamics of stock prices and investment strategies in financial markets. Both the stock price movement and the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-06-11 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Fei Ren , Yong-Dong Shi

Portfolio diversification is a cornerstone of modern finance, while risk aversion is central to decision theory; both concepts are long-standing and foundational. We investigate their connections by studying how different forms of…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-26 Xiangxin He , Fangda Liu , Ruodu Wang

We analyse tick-by-tick data representing major cryptocurrencies traded on some different cryptocurrency trading platforms. We focus on such quantities like the inter-transaction times, the number of transactions in time unit, the traded…

This paper investigates systemic risk transmission across stablecoin markets using Quantile Vector Autoregression (QVAR). Analyzing eight major stablecoins with day data coverage from 2021 to 2025, supplemented by minute-level event studies…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-24 Wenbin Wu , Can Liu

We study the diffusion of shocks in the global financial cycle and global liquidity conditions to emerging and developing economies. We show that the classification according to their external trade patterns (as commodities' net exporters…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-09 Jorge Carrera , Gabriel Montes-Rojas , Fernando Toledo

We study the various sectors of the Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE) for a period of 8 years from April 2006 - March 2014. Using the data of daily returns of a period of eight years we make a direct model free analysis of the pattern of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-04-23 Chandradew Sharma , Kinjal Banerjee

We study the impact of volatility on intraday serial correlation, at time scales of less than 20 minutes, exploiting a data set with all transaction on SPX500 futures from 1993 to 2001. We show that, while realized volatility and intraday…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Simone Bianco , Roberto Renó