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The Monte Carlo within Metropolis (MCwM) algorithm, interpreted as a perturbed Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, provides an approach for approximate sampling when the target distribution is intractable. Assuming the unperturbed Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-31 Felipe Medina-Aguayo , Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

Many problems of practical interest rely on Continuous-time Markov chains~(CTMCs) defined over combinatorial state spaces, rendering the computation of transition probabilities, and hence probabilistic inference, difficult or impossible…

Effective sample size is a standard summary of Markov chain Monte Carlo output, but it is usually attached to scalar or Euclidean summaries chosen by the analyst. For manifold-valued samples this choice is not canonical: coordinate-wise…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Kisung You

Monte Carlo methods use random sampling to estimate numerical quantities which are hard to compute deterministically. One important example is the use in statistical physics of rapidly mixing Markov chains to approximately compute partition…

量子物理 · 物理学 2017-07-12 Ashley Montanaro

Variational quantum algorithms are poised to have significant impact on high-dimensional optimization, with applications in classical combinatorics, quantum chemistry, and condensed matter. Nevertheless, the optimization landscape of these…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-02-02 Taylor L. Patti , Omar Shehab , Khadijeh Najafi , Susanne F. Yelin

We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-20 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers produce dependent streams of variates drawn from the limiting distribution of the Markov chain. With this as motivation, we introduce novel univariate kernel density estimators which are appropriate for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-29 Hang J. Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonsuh Jung

In this paper, we consider the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach for random sampling of combinatorial objects. The running time of such an algorithm depends on the total mixing time of the underlying Markov chain and is unknown in…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2016-09-15 Steffen Rechner , Annabell Berger

There is a tension between robustness and efficiency when designing Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling algorithms. Here we focus on robustness with respect to tuning parameters, showing that more sophisticated algorithms tend to be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-12 Samuel Livingstone , Giacomo Zanella

Statisticians often use Monte Carlo methods to approximate probability distributions, primarily with Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. Sequential Monte Carlo samplers are a class of algorithms that combine both techniques to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Chenguang Dai , Jeremy Heng , Pierre E. Jacob , Nick Whiteley

Graphs with large spectral gap are important in various fields such as biology, sociology and computer science. In designing such graphs, an important question is how the probability of graphs with large spectral gap behaves. A method based…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-18 Nen Saito , Yukito Iba

We consider nonparametric estimation of the transition operator $P$ of a Markov chain and its transition density $p$ where the singular values of $P$ are assumed to decay exponentially fast. This is for instance the case for periodised,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-26 Matthias Löffler , Antoine Picard

We prove a version of McDiarmid's bounded differences inequality for Markov chains, with constants proportional to the mixing time of the chain. We also show variance bounds and Bernstein-type inequalities for empirical averages of Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-14 Daniel Paulin

In this paper we extend the results of the research started by the first author, in which Karlin-McGregor diagonalization of certain reversible Markov chains over countably infinite general state spaces by orthogonal polynomials was used to…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2012-02-15 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Nicholas Michalowski

The paper presents efficient approaches for evaluating convergence rate in total variation for finite and general linear Markov chains. The motivation for studying convergence rate in this metric is its usefulness in various limit theorems.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Alexander Veretennikov

Gradient information on the sampling distribution can be used to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators via Stein's method. An important application is that of estimating an expectation of a test function along the sample path of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-29 Chris J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which automatically tune their parameters based on past samples, have proved extremely useful in practice. The self-tuning mechanism makes them `non-Markovian', which means that their…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-28 Pietari Laitinen , Matti Vihola

The aim of this paper is to study the spectral gap and the logarithmic Sobolev constant for continuous spin systems. A simple but general result for estimating the spectral gap of finite dimensional systems is given by Theorem 1.1, in terms…

概率论 · 数学 2010-04-27 Mu-Fa Chen

Monte Carlo algorithms often aim to draw from a distribution $\pi$ by simulating a Markov chain with transition kernel $P$ such that $\pi$ is invariant under $P$. However, there are many situations for which it is impractical or impossible…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-16 P. Alquier , N. Friel , R. Everitt , A. Boland

Deterministic-scan and random-scan component-wise Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, such as Gibbs samplers and conditional Metropolis-Hastings, are popular approaches for sampling from multivariate distributions. A long-standing open…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Youngwoo Kwon , Galin Jones , Qian Qin