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Markov chain Monte Calro methods (MCMC) are commonly used in Bayesian statistics. In the last twenty years, many results have been established for the calculation of the exact convergence rate of MCMC methods. We introduce another rate of…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-02-17 Kengo Kamatani

The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2007-08-14 K. Balaji Rao

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are central in computational statistics, and typically rely on detailed balance to ensure invariance with respect to a target distribution. Although straightforward to construct by Metropolization, this can…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-14 Erik Jansson , Moritz Schauer , Ruben Seyer , Akash Sharma

An irreversible Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm with skew detailed balance conditions originally proposed by Turitsyn et al. is extended to general discrete systems on the basis of the Metropolis-Hastings scheme. To evaluate the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-04-21 Yuji Sakai , Koji Hukushima

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used to simulate from complex statistical distributions by way of a local exploration of these distributions. This local feature avoids heavy requests on understanding the nature of the target, but it…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-04-12 Christian P. Robert , Victor Elvira , Nick Tawn , Changye Wu

Sampling from the lattice Gaussian distribution plays an important role in various research fields. In this paper, the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)-based sampling technique is advanced in several fronts. Firstly, the spectral gap for the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-07-31 Zheng Wang , Cong Ling

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

The Metropolis-within-Gibbs (MwG) algorithm is a widely used Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for sampling from high-dimensional distributions when exact conditional sampling is intractable. We study MwG with Random Walk Metropolis (RWM)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-01 Cecilia Secchi , Giacomo Zanella

In Monte-Carlo methods the Markov processes used to sample a given target distribution usually satisfy detailed balance, i.e. they are time-reversible. However, relatively recent results have demonstrated that appropriate reversible and…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-29 Luc Rey-Bellet , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide consistent of integrals as the number of iterations goes to infinity. MCMC estimators are generally biased after any fixed number of iterations. We propose to remove this bias by using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-18 Pierre E. Jacob , John O'Leary , Yves F. Atchadé

State-space models are commonly used to describe different forms of ecological data. We consider the case of count data with observation errors. For such data the system process is typically multi-dimensional consisting of coupled Markov…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-15 Axel Finke , Ruth King , Alexandros Beskos , Petros Dellaportas

We introduce a new Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach designed for efficient sampling of highly correlated and multimodal posteriors. Parallel tempering, though effective, is a costly technique for sampling such posteriors. Our…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2014-10-01 Benjamin Farr , Vicky Kalogera , Erik Luijten

We introduce a linear-scaling stochastic method to compute real-space maps of any positive local spectral operator in a tight-binding model. By employing positive-definite estimators, the sampling error at each site can be rigorously…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-11-18 H. P. Veiga , D. R. Pinheiro , J. P. Santos Pires , J. M. Viana Parente Lopes

For a reversible and ergodic Markov chain $\{X_n,n\geq0\}$ with invariant distribution $\pi$, we show that a valid confidence interval for $\pi(h)$ can be constructed whenever the asymptotic variance $\sigma^2_P(h)$ is finite and positive.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Yves F. Atchadé

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations are modeled as driven by true random numbers. We consider variance bounding Markov chains driven by a deterministic sequence of numbers. The star-discrepancy provides a measure of efficiency of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-03 Josef Dick , Daniel Rudolf

To sample from a given target distribution, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling relies on constructing an ergodic Markov chain with the target distribution as its invariant measure. For any MCMC method, an important question is how to…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-15 Federica Milinanni , Pierre Nyquist

A novel procedure is described for accelerating the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo computations. The algorithm uses an adaptive bootstrap technique to generate candidate steps in the Markov Chain. It is efficient for symmetric,…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2010-12-13 Greg Kochanski , Burton S. Rosner

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of a finite, ergodic, and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-25 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , David A. Levin , Yuval Peres , Csaba Szepesvári

We present a Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme based on merges and splits of groups that is capable of efficiently sampling from the posterior distribution of network partitions, defined according to the stochastic block model (SBM). We…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-14 Tiago P. Peixoto