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It is well understood that dynamic instability is among the primary drivers of forecast uncertainty in chaotic, physical systems. Data assimilation techniques have been designed to exploit this phenomena, reducing the effective dimension of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-07-27 Colin Grudzien , Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet

We prove that for linear, discrete, time-varying, deterministic system (perfect model) with noisy outputs, the Riccati transformation in the Kalman filter asymptotically bounds the rank of the forecast and the analysis error covariance…

Chaos is ubiquitous in physical systems. The associated sensitivity to initial conditions is a significant obstacle in forecasting the weather and other geophysical fluid flows. Data assimilation is the process whereby the uncertainty in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-11-03 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Jonathan Demaeyer , Colin Grudzien , Patrick Raanes , Stephane Vannitsem

This paper studies the stability of covariance-intersection (CI)-based distributed Kalman filtering in time-varying systems. For the general time-varying case, a relationship between the error covariance and the observability Gramian is…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-09 Zhongyao Hu , Bo Chen , Chao Sun , Li Yu

Contemporary data assimilation often involves millions of prediction variables. The classical Kalman filter is no longer computationally feasible in such a high dimensional context. This problem can often be resolved by exploiting the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-30 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

This article develops a comprehensive framework for stability analysis of a broad class of commonly used continuous and discrete time-filters for stochastic dynamic systems with non-linear state dynamics and linear measurements under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-11 Toni Karvonen , Silvère Bonnabel , Eric Moulines , Simo Särkkä

The unscented Kalman filter is a nonlinear estimation algorithm commonly used in navigation applications. The prediction of the mean and covariance matrix is crucial to the stable behavior of the filter. This prediction is done by…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Amit Levy , Itzik Klein

The Ensemble Kalman filter and Ensemble square root filters are data assimilation methods used to combine high dimensional nonlinear models with observed data. These methods have proved to be indispensable tools in science and engineering…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-31 Xin T Tong , Andrew J Majda , David Kelly

The unscented Kalman filter is an algorithm capable of handling nonlinear scenarios. Uncertainty in process noise covariance may decrease the filter estimation performance or even lead to its divergence. Therefore, it is important to adjust…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Amit Levy , Itzik Klein

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

Ill-posed inverse problems are ubiquitous in applications. Under- standing of algorithms for their solution has been greatly enhanced by a deep understanding of the linear inverse problem. In the applied communities ensemble-based filtering…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-08 Marco A. Iglesias , Kui Lin , Shuai Lu , Andrew M. Stuart

Providing a metric of uncertainty alongside a state estimate is often crucial when tracking a dynamical system. Classic state estimators, such as the Kalman filter (KF), provide a time-dependent uncertainty measure from knowledge of the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-10 Itzik Klein , Guy Revach , Nir Shlezinger , Jonas E. Mehr , Ruud J. G. van Sloun , Yonina. C. Eldar

Inference and simulation in the context of high-dimensional dynamical systems remain computationally challenging problems. Some form of dimensionality reduction is required to make the problem tractable in general. In this paper, we propose…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-04 Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig , Jörg Nick , Filip Tronarp

Nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter (KF), such as the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), are indispensable for state estimation in complex dynamical systems, yet the conditions for a nonlinear KF to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-25 Shida Jiang , Jaewoong Lee , Shengyu Tao , Scott Moura

Data assimilation schemes are confronted with the presence of model errors arising from the imperfect description of atmospheric dynamics. These errors are usually modeled on the basis of simple assumptions such as bias, white noise, first…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 A. Carrassi , S. Vannitsem , C. Nicolis

Studying the stability of the Kalman filter whose measurements are randomly lost has been an active research topic for over a decade. In this paper we extend the existing results to a far more general setting in which the measurement…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-10-19 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Eduardo Rohr , Minyue Fu

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster

In this paper, we investigate probabilistic stability of Kalman filtering over fading channels modeled by $\ast$-mixing random processes, where channel fading is allowed to generate non-stationary packet dropouts with temporal and/or…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-11-28 Junfeng Wu , Guodong Shi , Brian D. O. Anderson , Karl Henrik Johansson
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