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We calculate both the exponential and pre-factor contributions in a WKB approximation of the master equation for a stochastic SIR model with highly oscillatory dynamics. Fixing the basic parameters of the model we investigate how the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2011-12-14 Andrew J. Black , Alan J. McKane

We present a novel and flexible data-driven framework for estimating the response of higher-order moments of nonlinear stochastic systems to small external perturbations. The classical Generalized Fluctuation--Dissipation Theorem (GFDT)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini , Fabrizio Falasca , Andre N. Souza

In this paper, we formulate a stochastic logistic fish growth model driven by both white noise and non-Gaussian noise. We focus our study on the mean time to extinction, escape probability to measure the noise-induced extinction probability…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-03 A. Tesfay , D. Tesfay , A. Khalaf , J. Brannan

Dynamics near and far away from thermal equilibrium is studied within the framework of Langevin equations. A stochasticity-dissipation relation is proposed to emphasize the equal importance of the stochastic and deterministic forces in…

经典物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 P. Ao

A randomly interacting N-species Lotka-Volterra system in the presence of a Gaussian multiplicative noise is analyzed. The investigation is focused on the role of this external noise into the statistical properties of the extinction times…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-10-07 Alessandro Fiasconaro , Bernardo Spagnolo

This paper investigates the dynamics of biomass in a marine ecosystem. A stochastic process is defined in which organisms undergo jumps in body size as they catch and eat smaller organisms. Using a systematic expansion of the master…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-01-11 Samik Datta , Gustav W. Delius , Richard Law

The logistic birth and death process is perhaps the simplest stochastic population model that has both density-dependent reproduction, and a phase transition, and a lot can be learned about the process by studying its extinction time,…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-22 Eric Foxall

We discuss two cases that can be connected to the dynamics of interacting populations: (I.) density waves for the case or negligible random fluctuations of the populations densities, and (II.) probability distributions connected to the…

数学物理 · 物理学 2013-04-05 Nikolay K. Vitanov , Zlatinka I. Dimitrova , Kaloyan N. Vitanov

Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber

The most frequently used in physical application diffusive (based on the Fokker-Planck equation) model leans upon the assumption of small jumps of a macroscopic variable for each given realization of the stochastic process. This imposes…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Serge Shpyrko , V. V. Ryazanov

We analyze the fluctuation of the number of individuals when two competing species, beginning with a few initial individuals, are submitted to a logistic growth. We show that when the total number of individuals reaches the carrying…

生物物理 · 物理学 2018-10-17 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

We consider stochastic population processes that are almost surely absorbed at the origin within finite time. Our interest is in the quasistationary distribution, $\boldsymbol{u}$, and the expected time, $\tau$, from quasistationarity to…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-11 Damian Clancy

We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

The classical fluctuation-dissipation theorem predicts the average response of a dynamical system to an external deterministic perturbation via time-lagged statistical correlation functions of the corresponding unperturbed system. In this…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2017-02-28 Rafail V. Abramov

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

Motivated by modeling the dynamics of a population living in a flowing medium where the environmental factors are random in space, we have studied an asymmetric variant of the one-dimensional contact process, where the quenched random…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Róbert Juhász

The effect of stochasticity, in the form of Gaussian white noise, in a predator-prey model with two distinct time-scales is presented. A supercritical singular Hopf bifurcation yields a Type II excitability in the deterministic model. We…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-07-20 Susmita Sadhu

This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with a specific focus on models derived from ecology and population dynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different stochastic population size processes…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-05 Sylvie Méléard , Denis Villemonais

The abundance of a species' population in an ecosystem is rarely stationary, often exhibiting large fluctuations over time. Using historical data on marine species, we show that the year-to-year fluctuations of population growth rate obey a…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2015-06-02 Jie Sun , Sean P. Cornelius , John Janssen , Kimberly A. Gray , Adilson E. Motter