English

Extinction time of the logistic process

Probability 2023-06-22 v2

Abstract

The logistic birth and death process is perhaps the simplest stochastic population model that has both density-dependent reproduction, and a phase transition, and a lot can be learned about the process by studying its extinction time, τn\tau_n, as a function of system size nn. A number of existing results describe the scaling of τn\tau_n as nn\to\infty, for various choices of reproductive rate rnr_n and initial population Xn(0)X_n(0) as a function of nn. We collect and complete this picture, obtaining a complete classification of all sequences (rn)(r_n) and (Xn(0))(X_n(0)) for which there exist rescaling parameters (sn)(s_n) and (tn)(t_n) such that (τntn)/sn(\tau_n-t_n)/s_n converges in distribution as nn\to\infty, and identifying the limits in each case.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1805.08339,
  title  = {Extinction time of the logistic process},
  author = {Eric Foxall},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1805.08339},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

49 pages, no figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T02:03:29.066Z