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We study the optimal dividend problem in the dual model where dividend payments can only be made at the jump times of an independent Poisson process. In this context, Avanzi et al. [5] solved the case with i.i.d. hyperexponential jumps;…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-15 José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We study the discrete time risk process modelled by the skip-free random walk and we derive the results connected to the ruin probability, such as crossing the fixed level, for this kind of process. We use the method relying on the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-08 Ivana Geček Tuđen

For a risk process $R_u(t)=u+ct-X(t), t\ge 0$, where $u\ge 0$ is the initial capital, $c>0$ is the premium rate and $X(t),t\ge 0$ is an aggregate claim process, we investigate the probability of the Parisian ruin \[…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-20 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

Using the results of precise large deviation and renewal theory for widely dependent random variables, this paper obtains the asymptotic estimation of the random-time ruin probability and the uniform asymptotic estimation of finite-time…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

In recent years there has been some focus on quasi-stationary behaviour of an one-dimensional L\'evy process $X$, where we ask for the law $P(X_t\in dy | \tau^-_0>t)$ for $t\to\infty$ and $\tau_0^-=\inf\{t\geq 0: X_t<0\}$. In this paper we…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-15 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper studies proportional risk sharing at claim occurrence time in community-based insurance. Each participant is modeled by an individual Cram\'er-Lundberg surplus process, and, whenever a claim is reported within the pool, its cost…

We study an optimal multiple stopping problem for call-type payoff driven by a spectrally negative Levy process. The stopping times are separated by constant refraction times, and the discount rate can be positive or negative. The…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2016-03-11 Tim Leung , Kazutoshi Yamazaki , Hongzhong Zhang

In this paper, we analyse some equity-linked contracts that are related to drawdown and drawup events based on assets governed by a geometric spectrally negative L\'evy process. Drawdown and drawup refer to the differences between the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-02-20 Zbigniew Palmowski , Joanna Tumilewicz

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process and independent Poisson observation times, we consider a periodic barrier strategy that pushes the process down to a certain level whenever it is above it. We also consider the versions with…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-11 José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

For a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, we study the following distribution: $$ \mathbb{E}_x \left[ \mathrm{e}^{- q \int_0^t \mathbf{1}_{(a,b)} (X_s) \mathrm{d}s } ; X_t \in \mathrm{d}y \right], $$ where $-\infty \leq a < b < \infty$,…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-13 Hélène Guérin , Jean-François Renaud

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-11 Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

The expected present value of dividends is one of the classical stability criteria in actuarial risk theory. In this context, numerous papers considered threshold (refractive) and barrier (reflective) dividend strategies. These were shown…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-10 Benjamin Avanzi , José-Luis Pérez , Bernard Wong , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

Let $(W_1(s), W_2(t)), s,t\ge 0$ be a bivariate Brownian motion with standard Brownian motion marginals and constant correlation $\rho \in (-1,1).$ In this contribution we derive precise approximations for cumulative Parisian ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-28 Konrad Krystecki

We investigate a refracted Levy process driven by a jump diffusion process, whose jumps have rational Laplace transforms. For such a stochastic process, formulas for the Laplace transform of its occupation times are deduced. To derive the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-27 Lan Wu , Jiang Zhou

We develop a new Monte Carlo variance reduction method to estimate the expectation of two commonly encountered path-dependent functionals: first-passage times and occupation times of sets. The method is based on a recursive approximation of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-28 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius , Johannes Stolte

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

The lifetime behaviour of loans is notoriously difficult to model, which can compromise a bank's financial reserves against future losses, if modelled poorly. Therefore, we present a data-driven comparative study amongst three techniques in…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-04-22 Arno Botha , Tanja Verster , Roland Breedt

In this manuscript we consider the dual risk model with financial application, where the random gains occur under a renewal process. We particularly work the Erlang(n) case for common distribution of the inter-arrival times, from there it…

In this paper, we propose a flexible cure rate model with frailty term in latent risk, which is obtained by incorporating a frailty term in risk function of latent competing causes. The number of competing causes of the event of interest…