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We obtain in this paper using the saddle point method the expression for the exact asymptotic for the tail of maximum of smooth (twice continuous differentiable) random field (process) distribution.

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-20 E. Ostrovsky

We are concerned with an $M/M$-type join the shortest queue ($M/M$-JSQ for short) with $k$ parallel queues for an arbitrary positive integer $k$, where the servers may be heterogeneous. We are interested in the tail asymptotic of the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-04-30 Masahiro Kobayashi , Yutaka Sakuma , Masakiyo Miyazawa

We derive in this article the asymptotic behavior as well as non-asymptotical estimates of tail of distribution for self-normalized sums of random variables (r.v.) under natural classical norming. We investigate also the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We consider a Markov chain on $R^+$ with asymptotically zero drift and finite second moments of jumps which is positive recurrent. A power-like asymptotic behaviour of the invariant tail distribution is proven; such a heavy-tailed invariant…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-16 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

Let $Y=\sum_{k\ge 1} 1_{A_k}$ be an infinite sum of the indicators of independent events. We investigate a precise (as opposed to logarithmic) first-order asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}\{Y\ge n\}$ and the point…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-10 Alexander Iksanov , Valeriya Kotelnikova

This is a continuation of our earlier work [Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 129(1), pp.102--128, 2019] on the random walk in random scenery and in random layered conductance. We complete the picture of upper deviation of the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-07 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Ryoki Fukushima

We consider two dimensional random walks conditioned to stay in the positive quadrant. Assuming that the increments of the walk have finite second moments and that the drift vector is co-oriented with one of two axes, we construct positive…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-10 Tuan Anh Nguyen , Vitali Wachtel

In the context of communication networks, the framework of stochastic event graphs allows a modeling of control mechanisms induced by the communication protocol and an analysis of its performances. We concentrate on the logarithmic tail…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Marc Lelarge

We obtain asymptotic bounds for the tail distribution of steady-state waiting time in a two server queue where each server processes incoming jobs at a rate equal to the rate of their arrivals (that is, the half-loaded regime). The job…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-05 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek Murthy

In this paper, we consider the $(1,R)$ state-dependent reflecting random walk (RW) on the half line, allowing the size of jumps to the right at maximal $R$ and to the left only 1. We provide an explicit criterion for positive recurrence and…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-27 Wenming Hong , Ke Zhou

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

We consider a one-dimensional random walk $S_n$ with i.i.d. increments with zero mean and finite variance. We study the asymptotic expansion for the tail distribution $\mathbf P(\tau_x>n)$ of the first passage times…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-19 Denis Denisov , Alexander Tarasov , Vitali Wachtel

Motivated by a bidimensional discrete-time risk model in insurance, we study the second-order asymptotics for two kinds of tail probabilities of the stochastic discounted value of aggregate net losses including two business lines. These are…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-22 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Shijie Wang

For a stochastic difference equation $D_n=A_nD_{n-1}+B_n$ which stabilises upon time we study tail distribution asymptotics of $D_n$ under the assumption that the distribution of $\log(1+|A_1|+|B_1|)$ is heavy-tailed, that is, all its…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-28 Dmitry Korshunov

We propose a new approach for finding discrete harmonic functions in the quarter plane with Dirichlet conditions. It is based on solving functional equations that are satisfied by the generating functions of the values taken by the harmonic…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-13 Kilian Raschel

The busy period for a queue is cast as the area swept under the random walk until it first returns to zero, $B$. Encompassing non-i.i.d. increments, the large-deviations asymptotics of $B$ is addressed, under the assumption that the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-16 Ken R. Duffy , Sean P. Meyn

We investigate the tail behaviour of the steady state distribution of a stochastic recursion that generalises Lindley's recursion. This recursion arises in queuing systems with dependent interarrival and service times, and includes…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-23 Maria Vlasiou , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider Markovian multiserver retrial queues where a blocked customer has two opportunities for abandonment: at the moment of blocking or at the departure epoch from the orbit. In this queueing system, the number of customers in the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-17 Tuan Phung-Duc

Let F be a distribution function with negative mean and regularly varying right tail. Under a mild smoothness condition we derive higher order asymptotic expansions for the tail distribution of the maxima of the random walk generated by F.…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

In this paper, we consider the state-dependent reflecting random walk on a half-strip. We provide explicit criteria for (positive) recurrence, and an explicit expression for the stationary distribution. As a consequence, the light-tailed…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-31 Wenming Hong , Meijuan Zhang , Yiqiang Q. Zhao